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Structural reform and SMEs<br />
3<br />
0.9%<br />
Average wage increase in developed<br />
countries between 2007 and 2013<br />
Factor by which American workers earned<br />
more than Chinese workers in 2013<br />
INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION<br />
A young man doing hard work in bad<br />
working conditions in Serbia<br />
A child at work in Transylvania<br />
W<br />
KEY TAKEAWAYS<br />
Labour market policies need to<br />
support recovery<br />
The purchasing power of wages<br />
must be maintained<br />
Promoting decent work maximises<br />
the benefits of globalisation<br />
eakness in employment growth, falling<br />
labour incomes and stagnant real wages for<br />
the bulk of the workforce in most countries<br />
has reduced global aggregate demand. It<br />
has also created a self-reinforcing cycle of<br />
diminished business expectations and low<br />
investment, further weakness in demand<br />
and insufficient labour market recovery.<br />
Reversing this slide into a slow-growth<br />
trap is the challenge facing <strong>G20</strong> leaders<br />
at their Hangzhou Summit. Medium- and<br />
long-term challenges are also daunting.<br />
These include eradicating extreme poverty<br />
and reducing inequality; adapting to climate<br />
change and ageing; responding to growing<br />
numbers of young job seekers in Africa and<br />
South Asia; and shaping the future of work<br />
during rapid technological change.<br />
Labour market policies need to support<br />
the recovery by boosting incomes and<br />
household consumption. They also need<br />
to ease workers’ mobility from lowproductivity<br />
to higher-productivity jobs as<br />
part of significant structural change.<br />
Creating confidence<br />
Labour market adjustment is difficult to<br />
manage amid slow growth. It involves<br />
workers changing jobs, changing employers,<br />
learning new skills and sometimes moving<br />
home. It can lead to unemployment or lower<br />
earnings. These changes are much easier for<br />
individuals, families and communities<br />
if there is reasonable confidence that the<br />
new jobs will be better and support the<br />
same or a higher living standard.<br />
The prospect of unemployment or<br />
reduced wages brings resistance, though.<br />
Such employment adjustment may reduce<br />
aggregate demand, slow growth and<br />
recovery. The timing and design of labour<br />
market reforms must take this into account.<br />
Social and economic priorities<br />
The medium- and long-term challenges<br />
must be addressed simultaneously. The<br />
political consequences of communities that<br />
now have a high risk of being left behind<br />
are increasingly evident around the world.<br />
Maintaining and increasing the purchasing<br />
power of wages – especially minimum<br />
wages – and of social benefits are priorities<br />
for economic as well as social reasons.<br />
These two policy fields are highly<br />
relevant to strengthening demand and<br />
recovery and also to ensuring that structural<br />
changes lead to much more inclusive growth<br />
and development.<br />
Wages make up around two-thirds of<br />
national income in most economies and are<br />
the main source of household consumption,<br />
which drives investment and growth.<br />
Income inequality has widened for<br />
several decades as the gap in wages has<br />
grown and an increasingly larger share<br />
has gone to capital. This has undermined<br />
growth. It was a trigger of the financial crisis<br />
and resulted in a sluggish recovery.<br />
The level of wages, and their<br />
distribution and share in national income,<br />
is the outcome of generally decentralised<br />
processes between employers and workers<br />
and their organisations. Broad coverage<br />
of collective bargaining contributes to a<br />
narrower distribution of income and more<br />
stable growth. However, coverage has<br />
110 <strong>G20</strong> China: The Hangzhou Summit • September 2016 G7<strong>G20</strong>.com