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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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Index<br />

6<br />

Figure 2-36<br />

Financial Conditions Indices, 2000–2016<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

St. Louis<br />

Financial Stress<br />

Index<br />

Above Average<br />

Tightness/Stress<br />

-1<br />

-2<br />

Chicago Fed National<br />

Financial Conditions Index<br />

Below Average<br />

Tightness/Stress<br />

-3<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016<br />

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.<br />

Nov-2016<br />

income gains—6.1 percent for Hispanic households, 4.1 percent for African-<br />

American households, 3.7 percent for Asian households, and 4.4 percent for<br />

non-Hispanic White households.<br />

Financial Markets<br />

U.S. financial markets have been robust so far in 2016, with equity<br />

indexes higher, government bond yields slightly higher, credit spreads lower,<br />

and oil prices rallying from lows that were touched in January. Equity markets<br />

had been broadly down in late 2015. The level of the S&P 500 Index as<br />

of November 30 is up 3.2 percent relative to the high reached in mid-2015.<br />

Asset prices in 2016 tended to be broadly affected by central bank policy<br />

decisions and investor perceptions of domestic and global growth prospects.<br />

Financial markets were volatile and equity markets were down early in the<br />

year, but have since recovered. In general, investor sentiment has been cautiously<br />

optimistic and, as shown in Figure 2-36, financial conditions have<br />

been relatively loose. Both rising asset prices and eased financial conditions<br />

should continue to support the economic recovery.<br />

The Year in Review and the Years Ahead | 125

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