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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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statistical area (MSA), and rural areas, defined as counties outside an MSA.<br />

However, the population groups that had the highest risk of being uninsured<br />

in 2010 have seen the largest gains; in particular, gains have been larger for<br />

younger adults than for older adults, larger for lower-income individuals<br />

than higher-income individuals, and larger for racial and ethnic minorities<br />

than for Whites.<br />

The ACA has also helped to reduce income inequality. As discussed in<br />

detail above, the ACA achieved its coverage expansion in part by providing<br />

financial assistance to low- and moderate-income individuals who obtain<br />

coverage through Medicaid and the Marketplaces. That financial assistance<br />

has greatly boosted income for these households. Those coverage expansions<br />

were, in turn, financed in part through tax increases on higher-income<br />

Americans. These and other ACA coverage provisions, together with<br />

other tax policies enacted during the Obama Administration, are making<br />

the income distribution in the United States considerably more equal, as<br />

illustrated in Figure 4-16. Because of these policies, the share of after-tax<br />

income received by the bottom fifth of income distribution will rise by 0.6<br />

percentage point (18 percent), while the share of income received by the top<br />

1 percent will fall by 1.2 percentage points (7 percent).<br />

Continued Labor Market Recovery<br />

Many critics of the Affordable Care Act argued that its coverage<br />

expansions would seriously harm the labor market. While critics of the law<br />

were not always explicit about how these harms would arise, some analysts<br />

argued that the law’s provisions providing low- and moderate-income<br />

people with affordable coverage options would reduce individuals’ incentive<br />

to work, leading some people to leave the labor force or reduce their work<br />

hours (such as Mulligan 2014a; Mulligan 2014b). These analysts also argued<br />

that the ACA’s requirement that large employers offer health insurance<br />

coverage to their full-time employees or pay a penalty would cause some<br />

employers to shift workers from full-time status to part-time status.<br />

Other analysts noted that the law’s coverage expansions had the<br />

potential to drive important positive changes in individuals’ labor supply<br />

decisions. Economists have long argued that the lack of good coverage<br />

options for those who do not get coverage through the workplace can lead<br />

to “job lock,” in which workers remain in a job that offers insurance coverage,<br />

despite the fact that their time and talents could be better employed<br />

elsewhere (for example, Madrian 1994). The pre-ACA research literature<br />

provided some empirical support for this view. Some research has suggested<br />

broader insurance coverage increases worker mobility and facilitates<br />

appropriate risk-taking in the labor market (for example, Farooq and Kugler<br />

234 | Chapter 4

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