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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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-5<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

Figure 4-42<br />

Cumulative Percent Change in Rate of<br />

Hospital-Acquired Conditions Since 2010, 2010–2015<br />

Cumulative Percent Change in Rate of Hospital-Acquired Conditions Since 2010<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-9<br />

-15<br />

-20<br />

-17 -17<br />

-21<br />

-25<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />

Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; CEA calculations.<br />

Declines in the Rate of Hospital Readmissions<br />

Another valuable indicator of health care quality is the rate of hospital<br />

readmissions, instances in which a patient returns to the hospital soon after<br />

discharge. Hospital readmissions often result from the occurrence of a serious<br />

complication after discharge, so hospital readmission rates are a useful<br />

indicator of the health outcomes patients achieve after leaving the hospital<br />

(Jencks, Williams, and Coleman 2009; Hines et al. 2014). Evidence suggests<br />

that many readmissions also reflect low-quality care during the initial hospital<br />

stay or poor planning for how a patient will receive care after discharge,<br />

which means that readmission rates are also a useful indicator of the quality<br />

of the care being provided during that initial stay (MedPAC 2007).<br />

Hospital readmission rates have declined sharply in recent years.<br />

After several years of stability, the 30-day hospital readmission rate among<br />

Medicare patients began falling sharply starting in late 2011, as illustrated<br />

in Figure 4-43. This decline continued at a rapid pace through early 2014,<br />

with modest additional declines since then. The readmission rate for the<br />

12 months that ended in July 2016 was 1.3 percentage points (7 percent)<br />

below the average rate recorded for 2007 through 2011. Cumulatively, the<br />

decline in hospital readmission rates from April 2010 through May 2015<br />

corresponds to 565,000 avoided hospital readmissions (Zuckerman 2016).<br />

Reforming the Health Care System | 287

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