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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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Figure 4-25<br />

Medicare Beneficiaries Aligned to ACOs, 2010–2016<br />

Millions of Beneficiaries<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2016<br />

0<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Note: Beneficiary counts are for January of the year shown.<br />

Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.<br />

states of Maryland and Vermont, CMMI is also testing statewide all-payer<br />

initiatives aimed at making comprehensive changes in how providers in<br />

those states deliver care.<br />

In light of the potential of APMs to improve the performance of the<br />

health care delivery system, the Administration set the goal of having 30<br />

percent of traditional Medicare payments flowing through APMs by the end<br />

of 2016, up from essentially none before the ACA. As illustrated in Figure<br />

4-26, CMS estimates that this goal was reached ahead of schedule in early<br />

2016. The Administration has set the goal of having at least 50 percent of<br />

traditional Medicare payments flowing through APMs by the end of 2018.<br />

Provisions included in the bipartisan MACRA will help accelerate<br />

the Administration’s efforts to deploy APMs in Medicare. Under the law,<br />

physicians who provide a sufficiently large fraction of their care through<br />

“advanced” APMs will receive a bonus payment equal to 5 percent of their<br />

annual Medicare revenue. Advanced APMs are a category that includes<br />

most of CMS’ most ambitious APMs, including the two-sided ACO models<br />

operating through the Medicare Shared Savings Program and CMMI,<br />

several of CMMI’s bundled payment models, and the new Comprehensive<br />

Primary Care Plus medical home model. Additionally, CMS has committed<br />

254 | Chapter 4

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