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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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a projected range of $16 billion to $27 billion in 2025, and $25 billion to $45<br />

billion in 2030 (EPA 2015c).17<br />

Improving Energy Efficiency and Conservation<br />

Improved energy efficiency reduces emissions and, by correcting<br />

environmental externalities or information market failures, can also improve<br />

economic efficiency. Administration initiatives have already succeeded<br />

in improving energy efficiency in millions of homes around the country,<br />

reducing energy costs, and cutting energy use by the Federal Government,<br />

with greater improvements expected in future years. Technological shifts<br />

have aided greatly in efficiency improvements. For example, LED lighting<br />

has seen a nearly 90 percent decrease in cost per kilolumen since 2008. The<br />

costs of lithium-ion battery packs for electric vehicles have fallen from above<br />

$1,000/kWh in 2007 to under $410/kWh in 2014, with estimates for leading<br />

manufacturers coming in as low as $300/kWh (Nykvist and Nilsoon 2015;<br />

DOE 2015).<br />

In the President’s first term, the departments of Energy and Housing<br />

and Urban Development completed energy efficiency upgrades in over 1<br />

million homes, saving families on average more than $400 each on their<br />

heating and cooling bills in the first year alone (EOP 2016). The President<br />

also launched the Better Buildings Challenge in 2011, a broad, multi-strategy<br />

initiative to improve energy use in commercial, industrial, residential, and<br />

public buildings by 20 percent by 2020 (DOE 2016b). More than 310 organizations<br />

have committed to the Better Buildings Challenge, and the partners<br />

have saved over 160 trillion Btus of energy from 2011 to 2015, leading to $1.3<br />

billion in reduced energy costs (DOE 2016d).<br />

Since 2009, the Department of Energy’s Building Technologies<br />

Office has issued 42 new or updated energy efficiency standards for home<br />

appliances, which are projected to save consumers more than $540 billion<br />

on their utility bills through 2030, and to cut carbon dioxide emissions by<br />

2.3 billion metric tons (DOE 2016a). The products covered by standards<br />

represent about 90 percent of home energy use, 60 percent of commercial<br />

17 The regulatory impact analysis for the CPP reports estimates in constant 2011 dollars. In<br />

2015 dollars, the net benefits to the U.S. economy would be $1.1 to $7.1 billion in 2020, $17 to<br />

$27 billion in 2025, and $26 to $47 billion in 2030. The CPP applies to existing power plants.<br />

In October 2015, the EPA issued final carbon pollution standards for newly constructed,<br />

modified, or reconstructed fossil-fuel-fired power plants. Due to projected market conditions<br />

(particularly the expectation of continued low natural gas prices, which make it likely that any<br />

new plants would comply with the rule’s requirements even if it were not in place), analyses<br />

performed by the EPA and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicate that the<br />

new source standards will have negligible impacts on emissions, as well as negligible economic<br />

benefits and costs. Should gas prices rise significantly, the rule is projected to generate<br />

significant net benefits (EPA 2015d).<br />

438 | Chapter 7

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