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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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peak above 200 in the fall of 2008 to below 80 in Fall 2016, a level below the<br />

17-year pre-crisis average of approximately 100 (Figure 6-25).<br />

Measures of housing-market health, the sector in which the financial<br />

crisis began, have also improved. The Case-Shiller national index of house<br />

prices has regained almost all of the ground it lost during the crisis (Figure<br />

6-4).<br />

Mortgage lending has stabilized. The four-quarter moving average of<br />

mortgage originations for new home purchases fell from a pre-crisis peak<br />

of $381 billion in 2006:Q1 to a trough of $117 billion in 2011:Q2 (Figure<br />

6-26). Since then, mortgage originations have risen steadily to $245 billion<br />

in 2016:Q3.<br />

For existing loans, the fraction of mortgages with payments more than<br />

90 days past due or in foreclosure continues to fall from the peak during the<br />

crisis. Mortgage payments more than 90 days past due have fallen steadily<br />

from a peak of 5.0 percent in 2010:Q1 to 1.4 percent in 2016:Q3. The fraction<br />

of mortgages in foreclosure has also fallen steadily from a peak of 4.6<br />

percent in 2010:Q4 to 1.6 percent in 2016:Q3 (Figure 6-27). Both measures<br />

of troubled mortgages, suggest substantial progress since the crisis.<br />

One of the most important functions of capital markets is to facilitate<br />

the formation of capital for business. Businesses have raised record amounts<br />

in the capital markets as corporate bond issuance has risen above pre-crisis<br />

levels (Figure 6-28).<br />

Conclusion<br />

The financial crisis revealed a number of fault lines in the U.S.<br />

financial system. Banks were inadequately capitalized, did not have enough<br />

liquidity, and took too many risks. Non-bank financial firms faced many of<br />

the same risks as banks, but lacked the same regulatory supervision or protection<br />

against runs. In addition, gaps in the regulatory architecture meant<br />

that financial regulators lacked a holistic view of the risks in the system.<br />

The Administration has taken numerous steps to make the financial<br />

system safer, most of all through the Dodd-Frank Act, which has helped<br />

correct a number of market failures that arose in financial markets during<br />

the crisis. It helps generate safety and soundness of financial markets by<br />

requiring that banks hold more capital, have adequate liquidity, and do not<br />

take excessive risk because they have access to government deposit insurance<br />

or access to emergency liquidity provision from the Federal Reserve.<br />

Dodd-Frank takes steps to limit systemic risk by bringing unregulated parts<br />

of the financial system that were effectively performing banking functions<br />

without the necessary backstops or regulation under a regulatory umbrella.<br />

420 | Chapter 6

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