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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT

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C H A P T E R 7<br />

ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

Introduction<br />

Addressing climate change and transitioning to a clean energy system<br />

is one of the greatest and most urgent challenges of our time. If left<br />

unchecked, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions threaten future national and<br />

global welfare and economic output. The impacts of climate change are real<br />

and being felt today. Fifteen of the sixteen warmest years on record globally<br />

have occurred between 2000 and 2015, and 2015 was the warmest year on<br />

record. Although it is difficult to link specific weather events to climate<br />

change, some extreme weather events have become more frequent and<br />

intense, consistent with climate model predictions. The number of weather<br />

events that have led to damages in excess of $1 billion has been increasing<br />

in recent years due to both climate change and economic development in<br />

vulnerable areas.<br />

Without proactive steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and<br />

slow the climate warming already being observed, future generations will<br />

be left with—at a minimum—the costly burden of facing the impacts of a<br />

changed climate on our planet, and potentially with catastrophic climate<br />

impacts. From an economic perspective, the causes of global climate change<br />

involve a classic negative environmental externality. The prices of goods and<br />

services in our economy do not reflect their full costs because they do not<br />

incorporate the costs of the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions associated<br />

with their production and consumption. Policies that internalize these costs<br />

will improve social welfare while reducing the odds of catastrophic climate<br />

events. In addition to the costs incurred to date, delaying policy action<br />

can increase both future climate change damages and the cost of future<br />

mitigation.<br />

Addressing the environmental externalities from climate change<br />

involves changing the long-run trajectory of our economy toward a more<br />

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