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harbour) in Alexandria 45 .<br />

Moreover, heat waves will affect the attractiveness and for tourism movement in <strong>Egypt</strong> due to the fact that<br />

most of tourists prefer moderate weather 46 .<br />

Climate change impacts – Health<br />

<strong>Egypt</strong> already suffers from air and water pollution. Diseases that are caused by poor water quality and<br />

sanitation kill 17,000 children per year. Concentration level of air pollution in urban centre of Greater Cairo<br />

was 82.6 mg/m3, when the World Health Organization standard is 10 mg/m 3 . This dramatic situation leads<br />

to 20,000 premature deaths yearly in Cairo and Alexandria and costs <strong>Egypt</strong> economy from 3 to 6 % GDP.<br />

Climate change could increase air pollution because high temperature and low precipitation tend to increase<br />

the pollution in the air, so annual mortality will increase by hundred to thousand and <strong>Egypt</strong> loss would be 10<br />

to 24 billion EGP per year 17 .<br />

Air and water pollution levels in <strong>Egypt</strong> contribute to many premature deaths and morbidity. About 17,000<br />

children per year, one-fifth of all childhood deaths, are estimated to result from poor water quality,<br />

inadequate hygiene, and poor sanitation. These conditions also contribute to high levels of infectious disease<br />

among children and adults, particularly diseases caused by worms and other parasites that result in a yearly<br />

loss of 615,000 disability adjusted life years (DALYs; World Bank, 2002).<br />

Table 10: Ranking of climate change vulnerabilities in <strong>Egypt</strong> (OECD)<br />

Resources/<br />

risk ranking<br />

Risk<br />

Certainty of<br />

impact<br />

Severity of<br />

impact<br />

Importance of<br />

resources<br />

Coastal<br />

resources<br />

Water<br />

resources<br />

Agriculture<br />

Energy<br />

Resources<br />

- SLR<br />

- Coastal erosion Soil salinization<br />

- Decrease Nile flow<br />

- Low precipitation / Salt water<br />

intrusion / Decrease Nile flow<br />

- Low precipitation<br />

- Salt water intrusion<br />

- SLR<br />

- Soil salinization<br />

- High temperature<br />

- High temperature<br />

- Decrease Nile flow<br />

High - medium High High<br />

Medium High High<br />

Medium - low Medium - low High - Medium<br />

Medium - low Medium - low Medium - low<br />

45<br />

"Environment and development in coastal regions and in small islands," International Workshop on Submarine Archaeology and Coastal<br />

Management. Available at: www.unesco.org/csi/pub/papers2/alex7.htm. Accessed on: July 2015.<br />

46<br />

Ma Bele´n Go´mez Martı´n, "WEATHER, CLIMATE AND TOURISM A Geographical Perspective," Elsevier, Barcelona, Spain, 2005.<br />

85

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