130218_Luxor-Egypt SECAP Final
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Main climate trends<br />
Temperature<br />
In terms of climate projection (Figure 20), it shows the percentage change in average annual temperature by<br />
2100 from the baseline climate of 1960-1990, averaged over 21 CMIP3 models 48 . It is clear that the projected<br />
temperature increases over the city of <strong>Luxor</strong> – Governorate of <strong>Luxor</strong> by around 3°C to 3.5°C.<br />
Rainfall<br />
Regarding climate projection (Figure 21), it illustrates the percentage change in average annual precipitation<br />
by 2100 from the baseline climate period of 1960-1990, averaged over 21 CMIP3 models.<br />
It indicates that <strong>Egypt</strong> is projected to experience a decrease in precipitation, which is seen as common with<br />
the wider Mediterranean and the majority of the Middle East. In the city of <strong>Luxor</strong>, the decrease of -5% to -<br />
10% is projected, whereas it is projected -10% to -20% in the city Hurghada.<br />
Climate change weather scenarios<br />
The CC World Weather Gen generates the climate change weather scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080 for<br />
worldwide locations to be used in building performance simulation programs.<br />
It’s based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report 58 .<br />
Table 11: Scenario Day (1 July) – City of <strong>Luxor</strong><br />
Year<br />
Dry-bulb Temperature<br />
°C<br />
Relative Humidity<br />
%<br />
Horizontal Radiation<br />
W/m 2<br />
Wind Speed<br />
%<br />
1980 - 2003 39.2 15 612 2.6<br />
2050 42.6 13 607 2.5<br />
2080 45 12 604 2.5<br />
58<br />
Climate Change World Weather File Generator for World-Wide Weather Data – CCWorldWeatherGen – available at:<br />
http://www.energy.soton.ac.uk/ccworldweathergen/<br />
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