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2012 EDUCATIONAL BOOK - American Society of Clinical Oncology

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OVERDIAGNOSIS AND OVERTREATMENT OF BREAST CANCER<br />

Table 1. Short- and Long-term Risk <strong>of</strong> Breast Cancer by Lesion/Risk Factor. 36<br />

Abbreviations: LCIS, lobular carcinoma in situ; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ.<br />

multiple laboratories and different pathologists. Therefore,<br />

one would expect that future treatment decisions are based<br />

on molecular markers and not subjective data such as grade,<br />

age, and tumor size.<br />

Focus on Prevention<br />

The Athena Breast Health Network is an innovative<br />

collaboration across the five University <strong>of</strong> California medical<br />

centers and includes the UCSF Institute for Health Policy<br />

Studies and the Graduate School <strong>of</strong> Public Health at Berkeley.<br />

Athena is creating a 21st century “knowledge economy”<br />

that will integrate clinical care and research to drive innovation<br />

in prevention, screening, treatment, and management<br />

<strong>of</strong> breast cancer and, at the same time, revolutionize<br />

the delivery <strong>of</strong> care. By working together as a community,<br />

the University <strong>of</strong> California medical centers, their affiliates,<br />

and primary care and specialty physicians will work to<br />

change the options for patients today and create a better<br />

future for all women at increased risk for breast cancer.<br />

Athena will implement a comprehensive Web-based informatics<br />

strategy to modernize the way in which clinical<br />

information is collected, tracked, and integrated with research.<br />

Athena will also develop and implement standard<br />

Web-based tools that will be integrated with the existing<br />

clinical information infrastructure to optimize the capture <strong>of</strong><br />

structured clinical information at the point <strong>of</strong> care from<br />

clinicians and patients. The development <strong>of</strong> an automated<br />

risk assessment tool integrated into Web-based decision<br />

support (BreastHealthDecisions.org, or BHD) is the culmination<br />

<strong>of</strong> 10 years <strong>of</strong> collaborative work by faculty involved<br />

in Athena. BHD was designed to widely disseminate<br />

evidence-based personalized options for breast cancer risk<br />

reduction and to increase awareness and use among the<br />

primary care community and hard-to-reach populations in a<br />

cost-efficient manner. This tool, which includes all <strong>of</strong> the<br />

validated breast cancer risk models, was built on an awardwinning<br />

decision-making framework 15,16 and is a decision<br />

aid that our team has developed and tested with patients<br />

and experts in breast cancer risk and prevention over the<br />

past 5 years. 17 The tool is designed for use by breast<br />

specialists, gynecologists, and primary care physicians, and<br />

incorporates the standard and improved models for breast<br />

cancer risk assessment that include breast density, hereditary<br />

risk, and atypia. 18<br />

Opportunities to Change Now<br />

Given that many cases <strong>of</strong> DCIS are associated with a 5%<br />

risk <strong>of</strong> invasive cancer after 10 years (the equivalent <strong>of</strong> a<br />

Gail Risk score <strong>of</strong> 2.5 or the average risk <strong>of</strong> a woman in her<br />

mid-60s) as shown in Table 1, these lesions too should likely<br />

be considered to be markers <strong>of</strong> elevated risk and should<br />

prompt thoughts <strong>of</strong> chemoprevention strategies. Coopey and<br />

colleagues 37 recently reported the outcome for nearly 3000<br />

patients with atypical breast lesions, ranging from atypical<br />

lobular hyperplasia to borderline DCIS lesions. The data<br />

demonstrated that these lesions conferred a risk <strong>of</strong> cancer in<br />

both breasts and that for this group <strong>of</strong> patients, chemoprevention<br />

with tamoxifen or raloxifene reduced the risk by<br />

about two-thirds, on average. This finding is consistent with<br />

data from the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel<br />

Project (NSABP) P-01 trial showing that women with atypia<br />

had an 85% reduction in risk with chemoprevention. 38<br />

Ironically, the only lesions we approach with surveillance<br />

are those with greater risk than that posed by many DCIS<br />

cases. Unlike the case in the prostate community, we in the<br />

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