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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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(4.41) Rik ■ 0 30 + 0 31 Mik + 0 32 Qik + 0 33 Dk<br />

+ e 3ik<br />

(4.42) R.. ■ 8 40 4. 8 41 Mik 8 42 Qik 4. 8 43 Dk 4. 8 44 Pk e4ik<br />

where<br />

R ik 3 average revenue received, in cents per ton, <strong>for</strong><br />

transporting the ith shipment of commodity class k;<br />

M ik = distance, in miles, of the i th shipment of commodity k;<br />

Q ik tons carried in the i th shipment of commodity k;<br />

D k 3 the density, in average tons per car, of the k th<br />

commodity class;<br />

P k<br />

the average wholesale price, in dollars per ton,<br />

of the ktn-commodity class;<br />

th<br />

Omn 3 the n- coefficient to be estimated in the mth<br />

equation; and<br />

e lik = the disturbance terms, (1 ■ 1, 2, 3).<br />

Table 4.13 contains the estimated coefficients and an analysis of<br />

variance table. We note first of all that all of the coefficients are<br />

significantly different from zero. The distance coefficients are posi-<br />

tive and quite robust. Each 100-mile increase in distance will increase<br />

the water rate by about thirty cents. Later, we will compare these<br />

coefficients with the rail coefficients.<br />

The quantity coefficients are negative as expected and quite sig-<br />

nificant. The greater the amount shipped at any one time, the less is<br />

the rate per ton. The density coefficient also appears negative and<br />

highly significant. Its effect is by far the largest of any examined<br />

here. A one hundred ton increase in the density variable would lower<br />

the water rate by perhaps $3.00.<br />

The price coefficient is very interesting. Its value is relatively<br />

small but it is positive and highly significant. Value of service rate<br />

106

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