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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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production relationship, e.g., a man-hour is not always constant in<br />

quality even when defined rather narrowly. However, barge and towboat<br />

services seem particularly troublesome in this regard. These problems<br />

exist quite apart from the problems associated with using ton-miles as<br />

a measure of output. The ton-mile, being the product of two terms, is<br />

not an unambiguous unit in which to measure output. Nevertheless, it<br />

is a commonly used measure of output in transportation.<br />

Both production and planning functions were estimated by Howe.<br />

For the production functions, he used monthly time-series data of<br />

three firms. For the planning functions, combined cross-section and<br />

annual time-series data <strong>for</strong> six firms were employed. Howe assumed<br />

log-linear production and planning functions. The inputs of the pro-<br />

duction function were surrogates <strong>for</strong> barge and towboat services, and the<br />

inputs of the planning function were barge and towboat stocks as well as<br />

time. Output in both cases was cargo ton-miles. Howe assumed a demand<br />

function facing the firm, and with this and the production (planning)<br />

function, he maximized a profit function subject to the production<br />

(planning) constraint. From the first-order conditions <strong>for</strong> a maximum,<br />

input demand equations were obtained. However, Howe argued that an<br />

adjustment lag <strong>for</strong> the barge and towboat inputs should be assumed <strong>for</strong><br />

the production function model because "we have omitted stochastic ele-<br />

ments from our model and (most important) because the preceding period<br />

(month) always leaves a legacy of geographical distribution of equip-<br />

ment...."8 The introduction of the adjustment lags resulted in lagged<br />

values of the barge and towboat inputs appearing in the input demand<br />

equations. Finally two equations were added to each model: (1) a<br />

24

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