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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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Since the aim of this study is to examine how the selected variables,<br />

individually and jointly, help to determine or to explain the level of<br />

rail rates, we have entered these variables into our regression equa-<br />

tions in a stepwise fashion. This allows us to observe, and test, the<br />

increase in explanatory power of the equation as each additional variable<br />

is entered, and also to observe the stability or robustness of the co-<br />

efficients of previously entered variables. The sequence in which the<br />

variables enter the equation was determined be<strong>for</strong>ehand and no variable,<br />

once having entered the equation, was allowed to drop out. The enter-<br />

ing sequence was, in almost all cases, the same as would have occurred<br />

had we chosen the variable with the largest "F to enter" statistic at<br />

each step.<br />

In earlier studies, we had found linear equations usually provided<br />

a better fit than semi-log or log-linear equations. For this case our<br />

regression equations were<br />

(4.33) R ■ S+SMe and<br />

ij 10 11 ij lij'<br />

(4.34) R ij<br />

where<br />

Rij<br />

B + 0 M + 0 Q + e<br />

• 20 21 ij 22 ij 2ij<br />

• average rate in cents-per-ton, <strong>for</strong> shipments<br />

• from state i to state j;<br />

M ij ■ average distance, in miles, traveled by<br />

shipments from state i to state j; .<br />

Q ij • annual tonnage in thousands of tons, shipped<br />

from state i to state j;<br />

0 the n th coefficient to be estimated in the m th<br />

mn<br />

equation; and<br />

■ the disturbance terms, (k ■ 1, 2).<br />

86

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