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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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tha TA a ±ollowing simple linear regressiOnwasrunto that<br />

(11) Road miles = 64842 + 37983 millimeters R 2 = .96<br />

(.02)<br />

where the Euclidean distance is expressed in millimeters according to the<br />

scale of tha map used <strong>for</strong> the projection (13 millimeters per 10 miles),<br />

The sample was made of 75 origins spread throughout the relevant part of<br />

Illinois. Now, if millimeters are substituted as units of measurement<br />

of the co-ordinates of X and Y on the map, the truck transportation cost<br />

from the point X0Y0 to Chicago can be estimated as<br />

L t + 6.842 C t<br />

.7983 C t (X o 2 +<br />

where C t and L t have the same meaning as in Section 2, and can be estimated<br />

through a linear regression the result of which is given in Table XII.<br />

This <strong>for</strong>mula <strong>for</strong> the truck cost can be easily incorporated in the boundary<br />

equations, as will be shown below.<br />

2<br />

)<br />

o<br />

For rail transportation the assumption of straight line connection<br />

meant again straight line connection to Chicago. It was found that the<br />

linear regression results of the rail rates on the road miles to Chicago<br />

were slightly better than those of the regressions of the rail rates on the<br />

actual rail distances. There<strong>for</strong>e, the above regression (11) could again<br />

be used to convert the millimeters of the co-ordinates into road miles. Then<br />

the rail transportation cost to Chicago could be estimated as<br />

1<br />

L t 6.842<br />

2<br />

C<br />

r<br />

+ .7983 C (X 2 +<br />

r r o<br />

c)<br />

)<br />

'<br />

where L and C<br />

r r<br />

have the same meaning as in Section 2, and are estimated<br />

through linear regressions the results of which are given in Table XI. Again<br />

this cost <strong>for</strong>mula can be easily included in the boundary equations<br />

Something similar had to be devised <strong>for</strong> water transportation.<br />

Here, the ratio of the actual water mileage from Chicago to Pekin over the<br />

distance in millimeters from Chicago to the perpendicular of Pekin along the<br />

chosen axis (Chicago-Lacon) was used to convert millimeters in actual water<br />

91

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