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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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Table II.<br />

No time in<strong>for</strong>mation was available <strong>for</strong> grain truck transportation.<br />

It was decided to take that time uni<strong>for</strong>mly equal to one day both <strong>for</strong> the<br />

transportation by truck to the river point and <strong>for</strong> the truck shipments to<br />

Chicago. This assumption seems to correspond fairly well to the nature of<br />

the rail time in<strong>for</strong>mation which includes more than the time of moving the<br />

grain. It allows some time <strong>for</strong> the loading, unloading and inspection of<br />

the grain.<br />

The time to transport the grain from river points to New Orleans<br />

by barge has been estimated from data recording all the barge movements on<br />

(1)<br />

the Illinois River with the points and the dates of shipment and arrival.<br />

Again some simple linear regressions have been computed on the basis of the<br />

data concerning the movements from points on the Illinois River to New Orleans<br />

and its vicinity. The results of these regressions were not much better than<br />

the rail time regressions, but give also good estimates of the average time<br />

of barge transportation from the various points on the Illinois River to the<br />

Gulf. Table III gives the coefficients of these regressions. Note the<br />

negative regression coefficient <strong>for</strong> the month of July. It is obviously wrong<br />

but should not matter much here. The coefficient is relatively so small that<br />

it produces practically the same time estimates <strong>for</strong> all the river points<br />

which are relevant <strong>for</strong> this study (from Havana to Lockport).<br />

It is worthwhile to mention that some fees are requested <strong>for</strong> the<br />

inspection and weighing of the grain. As they are proportional to the quantities<br />

processed, they have not been introduced in the computation of the differences<br />

between net prices. (2) For the transportation by barge to New Orleans, five cents<br />

per bushel as handling cost at the river station and at New Orleans have been<br />

added to the cost of transportation.<br />

(1) Provided by the U.S. corps of army engineers.<br />

(2) See Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, 'The 109th Annual Report<br />

Statistics 1966', 1967, pp. 183-184.<br />

35

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