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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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CHAPTER IV<br />

ESTIMATION OF THE DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION<br />

This chapter contains the results of our empirical investigations.<br />

As we are primarily interested in transport by rail, barge and motor,<br />

we first expand the work of Chapter III into a three-mode model. This<br />

model is then converted into suitable <strong>for</strong>m <strong>for</strong> estimation and and es-<br />

timating equations are derived. The data are then described and the<br />

empirical results discussed.<br />

(4.1)<br />

(4.2)<br />

(4.3)<br />

(4.4)<br />

(4.5)<br />

(4.6)<br />

(4.7)<br />

(4.8)<br />

(4.9)<br />

• (4.10)<br />

•<br />

•<br />

The Estimating Model<br />

The three-mode model may be expressed as<br />

gd • D(T c )<br />

T 1<br />

T 2<br />

T 3<br />

a<br />

T 1<br />

■<br />

■<br />

1 (Q 1 )<br />

E 2 (Q 2 )<br />

3 (Q 3 )<br />

Z 1 (Q 1 )<br />

a<br />

T 2 ■ Z 2 (Q 2 )<br />

a<br />

T 3 ■ Z 3 (Q 3 )<br />

T 1 ■ T r + T a<br />

c r a<br />

T 2 ■ T 2 + T 2<br />

c r a<br />

T T + T •<br />

3 3 3<br />

• Demand .<strong>for</strong> transportation;<br />

Transport rate by Mode One;<br />

Transport rate by Mode Two;<br />

Transport rate by Mode Three;<br />

Associated costs <strong>for</strong> Mode One;<br />

Associated costs <strong>for</strong> Mode Two;<br />

Associated costs <strong>for</strong> Mode Three;<br />

Total costs of shipping by Mode One;<br />

Total costs of shipping by Mode Two;<br />

Total costs of shipping by Mode Three;<br />

79

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