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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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Preceding sections have examined the relationships required to ob-<br />

tain V f' i.e., the tractive-ef<strong>for</strong>t and drag-<strong>for</strong>ce functions. Since<br />

D is assumed known <strong>for</strong> any given trip, the trip time would be deter-<br />

mined from Equation (5.29) were it not <strong>for</strong> delays.<br />

In reality, <strong>for</strong> a given level of traffic, there is a dispersion<br />

of trip times about an average, and the average itself increases as<br />

traffic congestion rises. Since thc variations in conditions af-<br />

fecting trip time are largely random--being primarily speed varia-<br />

tions due to weather, individual engine efficiency, and operator pro-<br />

cedures--the plot of the relative frequencies of vehicles against<br />

trip time has been approximated by a normal distribution. 14<br />

While, <strong>for</strong> a given level of traffic, the delay time is distrib-<br />

uted about a mean delay, the average delay itself is a function of<br />

the level of traffic. In railroad parlance, "interference time"<br />

increases as more trains operate on the same route. This interfer-<br />

ence time is primarily due to trains pulling into sidings to allow<br />

on-coming trains to pass, but it may also result from trains being<br />

retarded behind more slowly moving units.<br />

These ideas have been incorporated into an analysis of line-<br />

haul delays. 15. The following trip-time expression is postulated:<br />

T t = T f +<br />

where T t = road time, in hours '<br />

T f = minimum road time, in hours<br />

5 = delay factor, in hours per train<br />

(5.31)<br />

143

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