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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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economic theory. This, however, is certainly not likely to be true.<br />

That is, the observations will reflect the operation of a firm where<br />

some short-run adjustments are still taking place. Another inter-<br />

pretation is possible: Assume that the observations made represent a<br />

certain average level of efficiency which has been achieved in the past<br />

and is likely to prevail <strong>for</strong> some time. The long-run relationship could<br />

then be used to draw conclusions, <strong>for</strong> example, about the expected effects<br />

of increasing firm size.<br />

Four measures of firm size are readily available. These measures<br />

are also reflections of the firm's productive capacity: towboat horse-<br />

power, number of towboats, cargo tons of barge capacity, and the number<br />

of barges. Since no a priori judgement can be made as to which of the<br />

measures is the "correct one," all four have been gathered <strong>for</strong> each<br />

firm in the sample. Each could then be tried in the statistical model<br />

and the results compared. If the four measures yield similar results<br />

we would gain some confidence in the use of the variables as measures<br />

of firm size. -<br />

. Since the observations range over a period of five years, it is<br />

of interest to ask how costs have changed over time. This period is<br />

reputed to be one in which the industry made substantial ef<strong>for</strong>ts to im-<br />

prove its efficiency. As a result considerable attentiOn has been paid<br />

to the equipment used, to scheduling, and other operating rules-of-thumb.<br />

One reflection of this movement is the increasing Use of sophisticated<br />

cost accounting techniques (<strong>for</strong> example, much of the data used in this<br />

study was simply not available be<strong>for</strong>e 1962, at least in a <strong>for</strong>m which<br />

would be useful as a guide to production control). To attempt to mea-<br />

126

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