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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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cost-cargo ton-mile relationship would have the interpretation of short-<br />

run average costs. A family of short-run relationships exists <strong>for</strong> each<br />

plant size (cubic capacity). Average cost at the point of means is .68<br />

mills/CTM.<br />

Continuing with the plant analogy, we note also that the coeffi-<br />

cient of cubic capacity is negative. Viewed in this way, barging oper-<br />

ations exhibit long-run decreasing costs.<br />

If these short and long-run relationships hold true <strong>for</strong> the entire<br />

range of output two predictions can be made <strong>for</strong> barge operations, one in<br />

the short-run and one in the long-run. The long-run tendency would be<br />

toward employing larger sized barges. In the previous discussion of<br />

barge size the limiting factor on the use of large barge sizes seemed to<br />

be the physical waterway characteristics, especially the size of locks.<br />

However, as lock size has been increased and as waterways have been deep-<br />

ened there has in fact been a tendency to use larger barges.<br />

Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, the extent of this tendency cannot be easily deter-<br />

mined. Nevertheless, barge size could not be expected to increase in-<br />

definitely even with accomodating changes in waterway characteristics.<br />

A major limitation on the optimal size barge is shipment size and<br />

scheduling costs. One could conceive of an extremely large barge<br />

sufficient in size to carry the entire cargo load of a flotilla of 16<br />

jumbo barges. Typical shipment sizes presented to the firm, however,<br />

would not fill such a flotilla. A large flotilla; at any one time,<br />

will be carrying a variety of commodities with different igins and<br />

'destinations. Barges are added and dropped from tie flotilla as it<br />

moves along the waterway. Unless 'shipment size increases accordingly,<br />

scheduling costs <strong>for</strong> such a barge :ould rise considerably, and would<br />

98

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