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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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in barge construction over the range of ages in our sample the coeffi-<br />

cients of the dummy age variables would show no significant differences<br />

between age groups. A jumbo hopper barge is a fairly simple piece of<br />

equipment. According to naval architects, few design changes in barge<br />

construction have taken place since World War II.<br />

Second, if bargesreceivepreventative maintenance to arrest cor-<br />

rosion and hull damage, rather than being allowed to deteriorate until<br />

maintenance is absolutely necessary, the effects of age on maintenance<br />

cost would disappear. Casual inspection of the firms' records indicates<br />

that this may be the case, many barges receiving, <strong>for</strong> example, painting<br />

in successive years.<br />

Table 13 presents the results of F-tests per<strong>for</strong>med on each variable<br />

finally included. With the exception of cubic capacity, all variables<br />

are significant at the .999 level of probability. Although the F-value<br />

of the cubic capacity variable was not significant, a one-tailed t-test<br />

per<strong>for</strong>med on the capacity coefficient yields a significant value at the<br />

.90 level of probability. Because of interest in the capacity variable<br />

as a quasi-plant size measure it has been included in.fhe results below.<br />

The Results<br />

The results of the log-linear estimation are presented in Table<br />

12. Looking first at the results <strong>for</strong> total current output, we see<br />

that the coefficient' of cargo ton-miles is negative and significant.<br />

• The negative sign <strong>for</strong> cargo ton-miles is an indication that the average<br />

cost of a cargo ton-mile declines throughout the range of current out-<br />

put actually experienced. If one takes the view that each barge is a<br />

"plant" <strong>for</strong> the production of cargo ton-miles of freight, the average<br />

94

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