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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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where moL.t cf the symbols have the same meaning as be<strong>for</strong>e and,<br />

a t = .7983, the coefficient of regression (11)<br />

3 w = 1<br />

a r = 6,842 C r •<br />

0<br />

E 21 = X 21 the money estimate of the quality difference between<br />

rail and barge transportation.<br />

This new equation <strong>for</strong>m is identical to the <strong>for</strong>m of equation (8), so<br />

that the boundary is made up of segments of hyperbolas. The other<br />

boundary equations of Section 2 can be easily modified in the same way.<br />

Again, the water-truck boundary is made up of segments of parabolas, and<br />

the, rail-truck boundary is a circle.<br />

The results of the linear regressions of the rates on distance<br />

. were very good ih the'case of river and road transports. As to rail<br />

transport results, they were good enough <strong>for</strong> our purpose, most of the R 2<br />

being above .60, and the coefficients significant. However, railway A's<br />

'regression was very bad, <strong>for</strong> the reason that its rates hardly vary with<br />

distance, and a few of them are completely out of line (1) . A graphic<br />

inspection of the rate structures of the railways revealed that they were<br />

best summarized by a linear relationship between rate and distance, despite<br />

some tariff peculiarities. In these conditions, the linearity assumptions<br />

of the model could be used without reservations.<br />

The actual boundary equatibns can then be computed on the basis of<br />

this in<strong>for</strong>mation plus what has been gathered in Chapter III. These equations<br />

are given in Table XIII (2) . Note that the time cost was not included in<br />

their computation. The little role that time plays in this particular<br />

problem did not warrant the additional complication. The next task is to<br />

draw all the curves corresponding to these equations on the Illinois map,<br />

using the Chicago-Lacon axis as an abscissa. Note that there are one<br />

OSCIONIIM<br />

• (1) These rates relate to points of origin which are not located on railway<br />

A network but on another railway feeder line.<br />

(2) In the case of the rail-truck boundaries, only the radius of the circles<br />

have been given.<br />

05

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