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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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The analyses of t'aese cost categories were synthesized to yield<br />

over-all relationships between cost and output. MPSZ did this by em-<br />

ploying certain assumptions about the relationships between ton-miles<br />

and certain other operating :Icasures such as yard hours and train<br />

miles. Based on these assumptions and the statistical analyses, the<br />

long-run marginal costs shown in Table 5.8 are obtained. Using MPSZ's<br />

results, if one wanted to estimate the long-run marginal cost of a<br />

freight train trip, he would determine the amount of gross ton-miles<br />

to be generated and multiply this by 4.28 mills, which is the price-<br />

corrected version of the MPSZ figure. Such a calculation would re-<br />

quire knowledge of the distance to be traversed by the train, the<br />

cargo tonnage of the train, and the tare weight of the train.<br />

MPSZ say, in reference to the above sort of calculation, "It<br />

should be noted that these estimates are based on a sort of central<br />

tendency and are typical figures that will apply to freight movements<br />

only of a very average or ordinary kind." 33 The reason <strong>for</strong> this is<br />

in part due to the nature of the estimation procedure and in part due<br />

to the assumptions required to use some of the results. The varia-<br />

bility of costs with output was investigated, as mentioned above, by<br />

means of linear regression analysis. This by its very nature makes<br />

the estimates "sort of central tendencies." In addition, certain<br />

assumptions were employed to achieve the figure of long-run marginal<br />

cost on a gross ton-mile basis. For example, it was assumed that it<br />

required "approximately 24 minutes to originate, classify, and termi-<br />

nate the typical merchandise car, that this car goes approximately<br />

400 miles, and that it has a load of 25 tons." 34 These assumptions<br />

1.75

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