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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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(4.15)<br />

(4.16)<br />

(4.17)<br />

(4.18)<br />

• •<br />

We now substitute equations (4.8) through (4.14) into equations<br />

(4.1) through (4.7) to eliminate Q d , T T a (i • 1, 2, 3). The<br />

reduced equilibrium system then appears as<br />

Q1 + <strong>Q2</strong> + Q 3<br />

T 1<br />

T 2<br />

w D(Tc ,A)<br />

w E 1 (QM)<br />

■<br />

2 0 2' 10<br />

T• w3(Q3'M) .<br />

3<br />

(4.19) Tc - Tr Z 1 (Q 1 ,M)<br />

1<br />

r<br />

(4.20) T c - T 2 • Z 2 (Q 2 ,M)<br />

(4.21) Tc - Tr 3 Z3 (Q3' M)<br />

Two specifications are now imposed upon the system.<br />

1. The equations are linear in all included variables.<br />

2. The Qi do not appear in equations (4.16), (4.17) and<br />

(4.18)<br />

Specification 1 is necessary due to the nature of the model and the<br />

estimation problems involved. The second specification recognizes<br />

that rates <strong>for</strong> the commodities we are concerned with are fixed by law<br />

and that the regulatory process may cause the process of rate adjust-<br />

ment to be both long and complex. As will be seen below, it also<br />

allows the empirical work to be separated into two distinct parts.<br />

(4.22)<br />

(4.23)<br />

(4.24)<br />

(4.25)<br />

With these specifications the model may be written as<br />

Ql + <strong>Q2</strong> + Q3 wa+0T c +yA<br />

c r<br />

T - T l w a l + b l Q l + c l M<br />

Tc - Tr wa<br />

2<br />

+b<br />

2 <strong>Q2</strong> +c 2 M<br />

2<br />

C r<br />

T - T w a + b Q + c M<br />

3 3 3 3 3<br />

81

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