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Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

Q2 Z2,(Q2) Z2(Q2) - Institute for Water Resources - U.S. Army

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made through questionnaires to country elevators, (1) the three modes<br />

shipments represented about 60 per cent of all the corn shipped from<br />

the five crop districts which enclose the area under study; 21 per cent<br />

were shipped to Peoria, Decatur, and other destinations in Illinois;<br />

about 5 per cent was shipped by barge to Chicago, and the rest was shipped<br />

to more distant markets, mainly-to the South and the West by rail or<br />

by truck. Accordingly, if one sets aside the corn shipments to<br />

destinations within Illinois other than Chicago, approximately 80 per cent<br />

of the remaining corn shipments were made by one of the three modes the<br />

present study is taking into account. These statistics should confirm the<br />

relevance of these three modes.<br />

As mentioned above, three months have been selected <strong>for</strong> separate<br />

statistical analysis. The month period appeared to be a reasonable<br />

compromise among several requirements: the need <strong>for</strong> sufficient sample size:,<br />

the wish to take into account seasonal pecularities, and the necessity of<br />

using a period short enough to keep the influence of the variations in<br />

market prices- within reasonable limits. This may be the time to point out<br />

that this analysis will deal with three different' marketprices: the price<br />

on the market of New-Orleans, the price <strong>for</strong> truck grain in Chicago, and the<br />

price <strong>for</strong> rail grain in Chicago. Monthly averages of these prices have to<br />

be introduced since we do not know the precise price that each shipment of<br />

corn obtained. (2) Variations in the relations among these three prices<br />

during a month probably explain a .certain amount of the shipments which<br />

are made by two modes from a common origin.<br />

(1)<br />

D.W. Kloth, 'The Transurtation of Illinois Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans -<br />

Volume Movements to Intrastate and Interstate Destinations and Factors<br />

Influencing such Movements', Unpublished Master Thesis, Southern Illinois<br />

University, 1964, pp. 43 - 58.<br />

As the categories used by the author do not correspond completely to<br />

ours, these percentages are only good approximations. The five districts<br />

used to reach these percentages are the Northwest, Northeast, West, East,<br />

and Central Districts.<br />

(2) Averages computed from the spot prices of No. 2 Yellow Corn published in<br />

'Grain Market News, Weekly', United States Department of Agriculture,<br />

Consumer and Marketing Service, Grain Division, Chicago.<br />

30

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