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Trade and Employment From Myths to Facts - International Labour ...

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Chapter 3: Assessing the impact of trade on employment: Methods of analysis<br />

APPPENDIX 3.B<br />

Model specification used for simple CGE simulation<br />

The equations of the model used for the simulations in section 3.4.2 are first the consumption<br />

function (an LES) with Y j as household income for the jth income category<br />

C ij = C ij (Y dj)<br />

where Y dj is disposable income. The material balance is<br />

X i = Σ A ij + C ij + I i + G i + E i<br />

j=1<br />

where government expenditure, G i, <strong>and</strong> net exports, E i , are taken from the base SAM<br />

<strong>and</strong> grow at an exogenous rate in the non-agricultural sec<strong>to</strong>r. For the agricultural sec<strong>to</strong>r,<br />

exports are determined as a residual from this same equation with<br />

X 1 = Q(K 1L 1)<br />

where the production function is Cobb-Douglas. Investment, I i , by destination is given<br />

by<br />

I i / K i = I +α μ u 2 + α r r<br />

where u 2 = X / Q 2 <strong>and</strong> r is the rate of profit. Household income is given by the value<br />

added in production plus domestic <strong>and</strong> foreign transfers.<br />

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