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EBITDA of US$ 9.5 billion, before<br />
synergies. In 2006, the combined<br />
company’s alumina capacity would<br />
have been 21.5 million tonnes and<br />
its aluminium capacity would have<br />
been 7.8 million tonnes. In addition,<br />
the combined company would have<br />
188,000 employees in 67 countries.<br />
The transaction is subject to review<br />
by antitrust authorities in various jurisdictions<br />
including the U.S., Canada,<br />
the European Union, Australia and<br />
Brazil. It also requires foreign invest-<br />
ALUMINIUM · 6/2007<br />
ment clearance in Canada, France and<br />
Australia.<br />
“With the changing dynamics of<br />
our industry over the past <strong>de</strong>ca<strong>de</strong>,<br />
we firmly believe that a combination<br />
of the two companies will enhance<br />
our future competitiveness against<br />
increasingly formidable competitors<br />
from around the world. During our<br />
discussions with Alcan last fall, we<br />
explored the regulatory implications<br />
of a combination of the two companies<br />
and our ability to address any po-<br />
Alcoa to take over Alcan: some remarks<br />
Rudolf P. Pawlek<br />
Following the above mentioned Alcoa statement, we<br />
must ask: what drives Alcoa to take over Alcan?<br />
Alcoa is fighting for its in<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nce as it risks itself<br />
being swallowed by Russian, Chinese, Indian or Middle<br />
East competitors. Also the far larger mining giants BHP<br />
Billiton and Rio Tinto, both London-based, were revealed<br />
in February to have each worked up feasibility plans for<br />
an Alcoa takeover.<br />
Alcoa is making much of its commitment to Alcan’s<br />
Canadian operations and is proposing to split its headquarters<br />
between New York and Montreal. Montreal<br />
would have to become the hub of the merged entity’s<br />
primary metal operations to avoid losing C$ 500 million<br />
in interest free loans and tax concessions from the<br />
Quebec government.<br />
Alcoa is vulnerable because, <strong>de</strong>spite doubling in<br />
world aluminium prices in the past years, the company’s<br />
share price has stagnated. And that is due to chronic un<strong>de</strong>rperformance<br />
in the downstream segments of Alcoa’s<br />
business, the fabrication of aluminium into everything<br />
from auto parts to beverage cans.<br />
With the masterstroke of buying Alcan, which had<br />
been an Alcoa subsidiary until U.S. antitrust authorities<br />
forced a separation of the two companies in 1928, Alcoa<br />
would achieve three strategic advantages: Firstly with 8<br />
million tpy of primary aluminium capacity the combined<br />
company would again be world lea<strong>de</strong>r, well ahead of US<br />
Rusal’s 4 million tpy capacity; secondly, the enlarged Alcoa<br />
might be too big for BHP or Rio to swallow; thirdly,<br />
in meeting anti-monopoly regulations, Alcoa has an opportunity<br />
to divest some un<strong>de</strong>r-performing downstream<br />
operations from beverage cans to aerospace products.<br />
Given that Alcoa and Alcan could not come to a meeting<br />
of minds after two years of discussions about some<br />
kind of combination, the firms are not quite the natural<br />
fit that Belda claimed in his statement above.<br />
And going hostile raises the likelihood of Alcan turning<br />
to BHP, Rio Tinto or another white knight bid<strong>de</strong>r.<br />
That would leave Alcoa even further diminished in size<br />
relative to its major rivals, and even more exposed to<br />
ECONOMICS<br />
tential issues a regulator might raise.<br />
We believe that any antitrust issues<br />
raised by an Alcoa-Alcan combination<br />
can be solved through targeted<br />
divestitures and by proactively working<br />
with regulators to address competitive<br />
concerns. We plan to move<br />
expeditiously to address these issues<br />
in or<strong>de</strong>r to close this transaction at<br />
the earliest possible date,” said Mr.<br />
Belda.<br />
Alcoa is targeting completion of<br />
the transaction by the end of 2007. �<br />
the predations of whichever Alcan bid<strong>de</strong>rs do not succeed<br />
in nabbing that prize. In<strong>de</strong>ed BHP and Rio Tinto<br />
may already be taking the wraps off their Alcoa takeover<br />
plans.<br />
Alcoa is confi<strong>de</strong>nt it will receive regulatory approval<br />
for its hostile bid to buy its Canadian rival Alcan, and<br />
is prepared to divest parts of its aerospace and automotive<br />
businesses in several countries in or<strong>de</strong>r to do so. �<br />
Stand: 3C17<br />
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