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Vol. 53 - Alaska Resources Library and Information Services

Vol. 53 - Alaska Resources Library and Information Services

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were covered by lower concentrations (Curl <strong>and</strong> Manen 1982).<br />

After larger<br />

spills of 500,000 to one million barrels, several thous<strong>and</strong> km 2 of<br />

benthos could be covered by 5-10 g oil/m2; a level we previously suggested<br />

might be toxic to crustacean embryos during chronic exposures.<br />

Extensive<br />

coverage would be most likely <strong>and</strong> most critical nearshore in shallow<br />

water. The same magnitude of scaling up could be applied to the NAS<br />

as well, which was considered only in terms of very small, 10,000 barrel<br />

(bbl), spills (Armstrong et al. 1983), which might cover an 8 x 20 km<br />

area with toxic oil concentrations. A large spill of 100,000-500,000<br />

bbl north of Unimak Isl<strong>and</strong>, for instance, could be transported several<br />

hundred kilometers in nearshore currents to Cape Seniavin <strong>and</strong> also mixed<br />

to the benthos in these shallow waters.<br />

8.5 Predictions of Oil Impact on Decapod Larvae<br />

Rather than work from a specific oil scenario in this section <strong>and</strong><br />

ask if larvae would be impacted, each major decapod group will be<br />

discussed from the vantage of how severe an oil spill must be to significantly<br />

impact a year-class.<br />

Figure 8.2 shows proposed lease sale areas<br />

of the St. George Basin <strong>and</strong> North Aleutian Shelf, <strong>and</strong> serves as reference<br />

to the following discussions.<br />

8.5.1 Direction of Oil Transport<br />

Physical oceanogrpahy <strong>and</strong> its relation to transport <strong>and</strong> distribution<br />

of oil in the water column was reviewed by Schumacher (1982) as<br />

part of the St. George Basin Synthesis meeting.<br />

Results of computer<br />

simulations by Leendertse <strong>and</strong> Liu (1981) were used to formulate scenarios<br />

of oil spills <strong>and</strong> direction of surface trajectories (Figs. 8.3 <strong>and</strong><br />

818

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