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isaac-deutscher-the-prophet-armed-trotsky-1879-1921

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TROTSKY IN THE OCTOBER REVOLUTION 293<br />

only by verbal rcsolutions.' 1 'The international situation', he<br />

argued on ano<strong>the</strong>r occasion, 'gives us a number of objective data<br />

showing that if we act now we shall have on our side <strong>the</strong> whole<br />

of proletarian Europe.'' This belief governed not only Trotsky's<br />

but also Lenin's entire view of <strong>the</strong> situation, and Lenin insisted<br />

that a Soviet government ought to be prepared to wage a<br />

revolutionary war to help <strong>the</strong> German proletariat in its<br />

rising.<br />

Zinoviev and Kamenev, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, said: 'If we<br />

should come to <strong>the</strong> conclusion ... that it is necessary to wage<br />

a revolutionary war, <strong>the</strong> masses of <strong>the</strong> soldiers will rush away<br />

from us.' This was a precise anticipation of <strong>the</strong> developments<br />

which led to <strong>the</strong> peace of Brest Litovsk. 'And here we come',<br />

<strong>the</strong>y argued fur<strong>the</strong>r, 'to <strong>the</strong> second assertion-that <strong>the</strong> majority<br />

of <strong>the</strong> international proletariat is, allegedly, already with us.<br />

Unfortunately, this is not so. The revolt in <strong>the</strong> German navy has<br />

immense symptomatic significanse .... But it is a far cry from<br />

that to any sort of active support of <strong>the</strong> proletarian revolution<br />

in Russia, which is challenging <strong>the</strong> entire bourgeois world.<br />

It is extremely harmful to overestimate [our] forces.'<br />

Thus those who were supreme realists when summing up <strong>the</strong><br />

Russian situation became illusionists when <strong>the</strong>y turned towards<br />

<strong>the</strong> broader international scene; and those who saw Russia only<br />

dimly through a mist of timid scepticism became <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong><br />

realists. To be sure, <strong>the</strong> advocates of insurrection embodied<br />

<strong>the</strong> energy and <strong>the</strong> indomitable courage of <strong>the</strong> revolution, while<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir opponents voiced <strong>the</strong> revolution's faint doubt of itself.<br />

Yet it may be wondered whe<strong>the</strong>r Lenin and Trotsky would<br />

have acted as <strong>the</strong>y did, or whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y would have acted with<br />

<strong>the</strong> same determination, if <strong>the</strong>y had taken a soberer view of<br />

international revolution and foreseen that in <strong>the</strong> cours

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