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The Surges in Iraq and Afghanistan<br />

10<br />

John E. Mueller, “The Search for the ‘Breaking Point’ in Vietnam,” International Studies<br />

Quarterly 24, no. 4 (December 1980), 497–519; Gregory A. Daddis, “The Problem of<br />

Metrics: Assessing Progress and Effectiveness in the Vietnam War,” War in History 19, no.<br />

1 (January 2012), 73–98.<br />

11<br />

Gregory A. Daddis, No Sure Victory: Measuring U.S. Army Effectiveness and Progress in<br />

the Vietnam War (New York: Oxford University Press, 2011), 234.<br />

12<br />

Graham Cosmas, MACV: The Joint Command in the Years of Escalation, 1962–1967<br />

(Washington, DC: U.S. Army Center of Military History, 2006), 295.<br />

13<br />

For challenges in assessment of counterinsurgencies, see Anthony Cordesman, The<br />

Uncertain “Metrics” of Afghanistan (and Iraq) (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic<br />

and International Studies, May 2007); James Clancy and Chuck Crossett, “Measuring<br />

Effectiveness in Irregular Warfare,” Parameters 37, no. 2 (Summer 2007), 88–100; Jonathan<br />

Schroden, “Measures for Security in a Counterinsurgency,” Journal of Strategic Studies 32,<br />

no. 5 (October 2009), 715–744; Jonathan Schroden, “Why Operations Assessments Fail:<br />

It’s Not Just the Metrics,” Naval War College Review 64, no. 4 (Autumn 2011).<br />

14<br />

Interview with Major General James N. Mattis, in Al-Anbar Awakening Vol. I: American<br />

Perspectives: U.S. Marines and Counterinsurgency in Iraq, 2004–2009, ed. Timothy S.<br />

McWilliams and Kurtis P. Wheeler (Quantico, VA: Marine Corps University Press, 2009),<br />

38.<br />

15<br />

Ben Connable, Embracing the Fog of War: Assessment and Metrics in Counterinsurgency<br />

(Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2012), xxi.<br />

16<br />

Jason Campbell, Michael E. O’Hanlon, and Jacob Shapiro, “How to Measure the War,”<br />

Policy Review, no. 157 (October/November 2009), 15–30.<br />

17<br />

Eliot A. Cohen and John Gooch, Military Misfortunes: The Anatomy of Failure in War<br />

(New York: Free Press, 1996).<br />

18<br />

Ibid., 222.<br />

19<br />

Allan R. Millett, Williamson Murray, and Kenneth H. Watman, “The Effectiveness of<br />

Military Organizations,” in Military Effectiveness, The First World War, Vol. 1, ed. Allan R.<br />

Millett and Williamson Murray (Boston: Allen and Unwin, 1988), 1–30.<br />

20<br />

Allan R. Millett and Williamson Murray, “Lessons of War,” The National Interest, Winter<br />

1988/1989.<br />

21<br />

Williamson Murray, Military Adaptation: With Fear of Change (New York: Cambridge<br />

University Press, 2012), 29–35. Murray notes that it is crucial to examine the problems<br />

associated with adaptation at the strategic level because that is where “statesmen and military<br />

leaders have found the greatest difficulties,” and where the costs for adaptation often<br />

represent too high a price.<br />

22<br />

Christopher J. Lamb et al., Human Terrain Teams: An Organizational Innovation for<br />

Sociocultural Knowledge in Irregular Warfare (Washington, DC: Institute for World Politics<br />

Press, 2013); and Christopher J. Lamb, Matthew Schmidt, and Berit G. Fitzsimmons,<br />

149

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