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Hoffman and Crowther<br />

180<br />

General George W. Casey Papers, Box #145, February 24, 2006, National Defense University<br />

Library Special Collections, Washington, DC.<br />

181<br />

Higgins, 136.<br />

182<br />

Casey Papers, Box #145, February 24, 2006.<br />

183<br />

General Casey states that he was “informed about a review” on Iraq by General Peter<br />

Pace in October, “but, from my perspective, it did not begin in earnest until after Secretary<br />

Rumsfeld’s resignation in early November.” See George W. Casey, Strategic Reflections<br />

(Washington, DC: NDU Press, 2012), 135.<br />

184<br />

At least 92 personal discussions, secure video teleconferences, and visits between February<br />

2006 and February 2007.<br />

185<br />

Feaver, interview.<br />

186<br />

Hadley, interview.<br />

187<br />

Hadley, interview; Petraeus, interview.<br />

188<br />

Ibid.<br />

189<br />

Ibid.<br />

190<br />

Casey Papers, Box #145, June 14, 2006.<br />

191<br />

Casey, Strategic Reflections, 37–38.<br />

192<br />

“President Bush Nominates Dr. Robert M. Gates to be Secretary of Defense,” The White<br />

House, November 8, 2006, available at .<br />

193<br />

Institute for the Study of War, Timelines of the Surge in Iraq: December 2005–December<br />

2008 (Washington, DC: Institute for the Study of War, n.d.), available at .<br />

194<br />

William Upshur, Jonathan Roginski, and David Kilcullen, “Recognizing Symptoms in<br />

Afghanistan: Lessons Learned and New Approaches to Operational Assessments,” PRISM<br />

3, no. 3 (June 2012), 89, available at .<br />

195<br />

Emily Mushen and Jonathan Schroden, Are We Winning? A Brief History of Military<br />

Operations Assessment (Alexandria, VA: Center for Naval Analyses, August 2014), ii.<br />

196<br />

Stephen Downes-Martin, “Operations Assessment in Afghanistan is Broken,” Naval<br />

War College Review 64, no. 4 (Autumn 2011). For further evaluation of conflict trends in<br />

Afghanistan, see Eric Gons et al., “Challenges of Measuring Progress in Afghanistan Using<br />

Violence Trends: The Effects of Aggregation, Military, Operations, Seasonality, Weather,<br />

and other Causal Factors,” Defense & Security Analysis 28, no. 2 (June 2012).<br />

197<br />

Lute, interview.<br />

198<br />

Cited in Jonathan Schroden, “Operations Assessment at ISAF: Changing Paradigms,” in<br />

Innovation in Operations Assessment: Recent Developments in Measuring Results in Conflict<br />

160

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