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Operational Plan for the Restoration of Diadromous Fishes to the ...

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Parr density (no. / 100 m 2 )<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600<br />

The GIS-based habitat model used slope, cumulative drainage area and<br />

physiographic province <strong>to</strong> predict Atlantic salmon rearing habitat throughout Maine.<br />

Stream widths were estimated using regional hydraulic curves <strong>for</strong> Maine rivers. We<br />

used <strong>the</strong> Penobscot basin portion <strong>of</strong> this dataset. We <strong>the</strong>n compared reaches that<br />

were surveyed using field methods <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> model predictions. This revealed 1) <strong>the</strong><br />

model is conservative, habitat was ei<strong>the</strong>r predicted at or below <strong>the</strong> levels observed<br />

in <strong>the</strong> field (Figure 4), and 2) errors in predicting stream width accounted <strong>for</strong> about<br />

75% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variability in <strong>the</strong> difference between field observations and model<br />

predictions (Figure 5).<br />

Figure 4. Field verses modeled habitat data with perfect prediction reference line<br />

(one <strong>to</strong> one).<br />

Model Habitat Units<br />

16000<br />

14000<br />

12000<br />

10000<br />

8000<br />

6000<br />

4000<br />

2000<br />

Field verses Modeled Habitat Data- Penobscot Basin<br />

Field <strong>to</strong> Model<br />

One <strong>to</strong> One<br />

Cumulative drainage area (sq km)<br />

Linear (Field <strong>to</strong> Model)<br />

0<br />

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000<br />

Field Survey Habitat Units<br />

Aroos<strong>to</strong>ok Dennys<br />

East Machias Kennebec<br />

Machias Narraguagus<br />

Pleasant Penobscot<br />

Saco Sheepscot<br />

75th Quantile 90th Quantile<br />

PRFP Page 143

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