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IARC MONOGRAPHS ON THE EVALUATION OF CARCINOGENIC ...

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Table 10 (contd)<br />

Reference Area Units of<br />

observation/<br />

number of units<br />

Autrup et al.<br />

(1987)<br />

Peers et al.<br />

(1987)<br />

Campbell et al.<br />

(1990)<br />

Van Rensburg<br />

et al. (1990)<br />

Kenya Districts of Kenya;<br />

9<br />

Swaziland Topographic (4)<br />

and administrative<br />

regions (10)<br />

China 48 widely<br />

scattered counties<br />

– out of a total of<br />

2392 in China<br />

South<br />

Africa<br />

Districts of the<br />

Transkei; 4<br />

Exposure measure(s) Outcome measure(s) Covariate Results Comments<br />

Urinary 8,9-dihydro-8-(7guanyl)-9-hydroxy-AFB1<br />

as ascertained in surveys<br />

at outpatient clinics in the<br />

9 districts (total sample,<br />

983); 1981–84<br />

Aflatoxins measured in<br />

food samples from<br />

households and crop<br />

samples from fields; over<br />

2500 samples analysed;<br />

1982–83<br />

Mean urinary aflatoxin<br />

metabolites, serum<br />

HBsAg and 3-day dietary<br />

intake, based on local<br />

sample surveys in 1983<br />

AFB1 contamination of<br />

local food samples, based<br />

on over 600 samples;<br />

1976–77<br />

Primary hepatocellular<br />

carcinoma (PHC)<br />

incidence diagnosed at<br />

one large hospital in<br />

Nairobi; 1978–82<br />

Incidence rates of PLC;<br />

1979–83<br />

PLC mortality rates;<br />

1973–75<br />

PLC incidence in<br />

residents and in goldminers<br />

HBsAg and<br />

anti-HBc<br />

HBsAg and<br />

other markers<br />

of HBV<br />

infection in<br />

3047 serum<br />

samples from<br />

the Swaziland<br />

blood bank<br />

HBsAg (50<br />

individuals per<br />

country),<br />

alcohol, some<br />

others<br />

Spearman rank correlation<br />

(r) with PHC rate<br />

Prevalence of AFB1 0.75<br />

HBV 0.19<br />

Significant correlation<br />

between estimated aflatoxin<br />

(and AFB1) consumption<br />

and PLC; little effect of<br />

HBsAg on PLC<br />

Urinary aflatoxin and PLC<br />

(r = –0.17)<br />

Nil Rank order correlations<br />

between AFB1 intake and<br />

PLC incidence in<br />

goldminers from the<br />

Transkei were significant at<br />

p < 0.05.<br />

Potential confounding by<br />

ethnicity. No interaction<br />

between AFB1 and HBV<br />

Positive associations<br />

between liver cancer and<br />

HBsAg (r = 0.45), liquor<br />

intake (r = 0.46), dietary<br />

cadmium (r = 0.40), plasma<br />

cholesterol (r = 0.42).<br />

Exposure data post-dated<br />

cancer data<br />

196<br />

<strong>IARC</strong> <strong>M<strong>ON</strong>OGRAPHS</strong> VOLUME 82

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