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The impact of urban groundwater upon surface water - eTheses ...

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GROUNDWATER FLOW MODELLING<br />

general, the difference between modelled and observed heads was less than 0.5m and model<br />

head contours reflected the shape <strong>of</strong> the contoured field piezometric data.<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> discharge to the river is strongly dependent on the close proximity <strong>of</strong> the<br />

outer boundary conditions (Section 6.7), and sensitive to changes in these (Section 6.9). In<br />

some places <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> flows may be maintained at above natural levels by the fixed head<br />

boundaries. Significant <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> abstraction is thought to occur within the model area but<br />

limited information is available on the quantity <strong>of</strong> abstraction and the pumping regime<br />

(intermittent). <strong>The</strong>refore the calibration did not include the influence <strong>of</strong> the abstraction wells<br />

which are considered later (Section 6.8). For the preceding reasons the calibration was aimed<br />

at obtaining the minimum likely transmissivity. <strong>The</strong> parameters which yielded an acceptable<br />

discharge to the river <strong>of</strong> 9.7 MLd -1 were transmissivity 400 m 2 d -1 , recharge 0.00069 md -1 ,<br />

river conductance 720 m 2 d -1 .<br />

6.3.2.4 Sensitivity <strong>of</strong> parameters<br />

<strong>The</strong> initial assessment <strong>of</strong> the sensitivity <strong>of</strong> the model was carried out indirectly during the<br />

calibration process based primarily <strong>upon</strong> discharge to the river and to a lesser degree on the<br />

deviation between the modelled and observed heads. <strong>The</strong> parameters <strong>of</strong> transmissivity and<br />

river bed conductance were selected for specific sensitivity analyses. Aquifer transmissivity<br />

values in the range 50 to 750 m 2 d -1 were used and riverbed conductance values in the range<br />

100 to 1500 m 2 d -1 . <strong>The</strong> model discharge to the river was most sensitive to transmissivity.<br />

Riverbed conductance was <strong>of</strong> secondary importance. Riverbed conductance is <strong>of</strong> increased<br />

significance at low values (

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