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The impact of urban groundwater upon surface water - eTheses ...

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GROUNDWATER FLOW MODELLING<br />

40% was related to a high value <strong>of</strong> Kx (15 md -1 ) in the alluvial gravel and a rise <strong>of</strong> 35% due to<br />

an elevated value <strong>of</strong> Kx (5 md -1 ) in the sandstone. <strong>The</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> an impermeable mudstone<br />

layer within the sandstone was simulated by reducing the unit thickness to 10 m. This caused<br />

a 48% reduction in <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> discharge to the river and a 25 cm drop in the modelled head<br />

for piezometer P10.<br />

<strong>The</strong> sensitivity analyses suggests that sufficient <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> discharge to the river could be<br />

supplied under conditions <strong>of</strong> reduced conductivity or thickness in the sandstone and increased<br />

conductivity <strong>of</strong> the gravel. However the average head modelled for piezometer P10 fell by 20<br />

cm under low Kx conditions in the sandstone. It fell by 25 cm when the sandstone thickness<br />

was reduced to 10 m and also fell by 17 cm under high Kx conditions in the gravel. This<br />

indicates that a combination <strong>of</strong> a high permeability gravel unit and a thin and/or low<br />

permeability sandstone unit is unlikely to represent the actual field conditions. Of most<br />

significance in controlling <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> discharge under steady-state flow conditions is the<br />

transmissivity (T) <strong>of</strong> the sandstone aquifer. FAT3D results indicate a minimum T <strong>of</strong> 200 m 2 d -<br />

1 for the sandstone. <strong>The</strong>refore, flow must be occurring through a significant thickness <strong>of</strong> the<br />

aquifer.<br />

<strong>The</strong> steady-state analytical model was used to derive an estimate <strong>of</strong> the saturated thickness <strong>of</strong><br />

the aquifer based on field data. <strong>The</strong> initial value <strong>of</strong> saturated thickness derived was 1.07 m<br />

which is inconsistent with geological information that indicates sandstone to depths <strong>of</strong> greater<br />

than 100 m. A sensitivity analyses was undertaken (Figure 6.10) to investigate the <strong>impact</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

varying the <strong>ground<strong>water</strong></strong> head values to the likely maximum and minimum values. <strong>The</strong><br />

calculated saturated thickness was most sensitive to variations in the value <strong>of</strong> the river<br />

190

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