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QUANTUM METAPHYSICS - E-thesis

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This does not, however, mean that quantum mechanics maintains complete indeterminism. The<br />

laws of quantum mechanics suffice for determining the probabilities of finding the system in a<br />

given state at a future time. We know something about the future but in many respects we do not<br />

know it exactly. 561 The probability of each possible event can be calculated on a theoretical<br />

basis. The observables of quantum theory are statistically predictable, but, except in pure cases,<br />

quantum mechanics is not able to predict with certainty what values a given variable will assume<br />

upon measurement - for example which transition will happen in an atom or which nucleons in a<br />

specific radioactive sample will decay in the next 60 seconds. If the subject of research is a large<br />

number of systems with the same initial conditions, the distribution of their possible final states<br />

is predictable. Quantum mechanics can be taken as a statistical theory 562 which, when stripped<br />

down to its very basics, deals with either one measurement of an infinite number of particles or<br />

an infinite number of measurements of a single particle.<br />

561 March 1951, 9-11.<br />

562 Quantum mechanics is different from classical statistical mechanics as the latter is a deterministic theory.<br />

Statistical mechanics includes the assumptions of classical particle mechanics but its state-describtion is defined in<br />

terms of statistical state variables. In quantum mechanics, the ”positions” and ”momenta” are not the self-same traits<br />

of particles which in classical mechanics are subject to precise numerical determination. The Psi-function of<br />

quantum mechanics employs a definition of state quite unlike that employed in classical mechanics. Quantum theory<br />

is ”indeterministic” in the important sense that its state-description is associated with a statistical interpretation and<br />

that its predictions are based on statistical assumptions. Nagel 1961, 290-291, 305-308.<br />

213

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