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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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Chapter 3 Fitting St<strong>and</strong>ard Least Squares Models 103<br />

Row Diagnostics<br />

The points on a leverage plot for simple regression are actual data coordinates, <strong>and</strong> the horizontal line for<br />

the constrained model is the sample mean of the response. But when the leverage plot is for one of multiple<br />

effects, the points are no longer actual data values. The horizontal line then represents a partially constrained<br />

model instead of a model fully constrained to one mean value. However, the intuitive interpretation of the<br />

plot is the same whether for simple or multiple regression. The idea is to judge if the line of fit on the effect’s<br />

leverage plot carries the points significantly better than does the horizontal line.<br />

Figure 3.38 is a general diagram of the plots in Figure 3.39. Recall that the distance from a point to the line<br />

of fit is the actual residual <strong>and</strong> that the distance from the point to the mean is the residual error if the<br />

regressor is removed from the model.<br />

Confidence Curves<br />

The leverage plots are shown with confidence curves. These indicate whether the test is significant at the 5%<br />

level by showing a confidence region for the line of fit. If the confidence region between the curves contains<br />

the horizontal line, then the effect is not significant. If the curves cross the line, the effect is significant.<br />

Compare the examples shown in Figure 3.40.<br />

Figure 3.40 Comparison of Significance Shown in Leverage Plots<br />

Significant Borderline Not Significant<br />

confidence curve<br />

crosses horizontal<br />

line<br />

confidence curve is<br />

asymptotic to<br />

horizontal line<br />

confidence curve<br />

does not cross<br />

horizontal line<br />

Interpretation of X Scales<br />

If the modeling type of the regressor is continuous, then the x-axis is scaled like the regressor <strong>and</strong> the slope<br />

of the line of fit in the leverage plot is the parameter estimate for the regressor. (See the left illustration in<br />

Figure 3.41.)<br />

If the effect is nominal or ordinal, or if a complex effect like an interaction is present instead of a simple<br />

regressor, then the x-axis cannot represent the values of the effect directly. In this case the x-axis is scaled like<br />

the y-axis, <strong>and</strong> the line of fit is a diagonal with a slope of 1. The whole model leverage plot is a version of<br />

this. The x-axis turns out to be the predicted response of the whole model, as illustrated by the right-h<strong>and</strong><br />

plot in Figure 3.41.

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