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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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82 Fitting St<strong>and</strong>ard Least Squares Models Chapter 3<br />

Effect Screening<br />

Figure 3.20 Correlation of Estimates Report<br />

Effect Screening<br />

The Effect Screening options on the Response red triangle menu examine the sizes of the effects.<br />

Scaled Estimates<br />

Normal Plot<br />

Bayes Plot<br />

Pareto Plot<br />

Gives coefficients corresponding to factors that are scaled to have a mean of<br />

zero <strong>and</strong> a range of two. See “Scaled Estimates <strong>and</strong> the Coding Of<br />

Continuous Terms” on page 82.<br />

Helps you identify effects that deviate from the normal lines. See “Plot<br />

Options” on page 83.<br />

Computes posterior probabilities using a Bayesian approach. See “Plot<br />

Options” on page 83.<br />

Shows the absolute values of the orthogonalized estimates showing their<br />

composition relative to the sum of the absolute values.See “Plot Options” on<br />

page 83.<br />

Scaled Estimates <strong>and</strong> the Coding Of Continuous Terms<br />

The parameter estimates are highly dependent on the scale of the factor. When you convert a factor from<br />

grams to kilograms, the parameter estimates change by a multiple of a thous<strong>and</strong>. When you apply the same<br />

change to a squared (quadratic) term, the scale changes by a multiple of a million.<br />

To learn more about the effect size, examine the estimates in a more scale-invariant fashion. This means<br />

converting from an arbitrary scale to a meaningful one. Then the sizes of the estimates relate to the size of<br />

the effect on the response. There are many approaches to doing this. In JMP, the Effect Screening ><br />

Scaled Estimates comm<strong>and</strong> on the report’s red triangle menu gives coefficients corresponding to factors<br />

that are scaled to have a mean of zero <strong>and</strong> a range of two. If the factor is symmetrically distributed in the<br />

data, then the scaled factor has a range from -1 to 1. This factor corresponds to the scaling used in the<br />

design of experiments (DOE) tradition. Therefore, for a simple regressor, the scaled estimate is half of the<br />

predicted response change as the regression factor travels its whole range.<br />

Scaled estimates are important in assessing effect sizes for experimental data that contains uncoded values. If<br />

you use coded values (–1 to 1), then the scaled estimates are no different from the regular estimates. Scaled<br />

estimates also take care of the issues for polynomial (crossed continuous) models, even if they are not<br />

centered by the Center Polynomials comm<strong>and</strong> on the launch window’s red triangle menu.

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