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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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270 Performing Nonlinear Regression Chapter 9<br />

Additional Examples<br />

The platform used the Quasi-Newton SR1 method to obtain the parameter estimates shown in Figure 9.19.<br />

Figure 9.19 Solution for the Ingots2 Data<br />

Poisson Loss Function<br />

A Poisson distribution is often used to model count data.<br />

e – μ μ n<br />

P( Y = n)<br />

= -------------- , n = 0, 1, 2, …<br />

n!<br />

where μ can be a single parameter, or a linear model with many parameters. Many texts <strong>and</strong> papers show<br />

how the model can be transformed <strong>and</strong> fit with iteratively reweighted least squares (Nelder <strong>and</strong> Wedderburn<br />

1972). However, in JMP it is more straightforward to fit the model directly. For example, McCullagh <strong>and</strong><br />

Nelder (1989) show how to analyze the number of reported damage incidents caused by waves to<br />

cargo-carrying vessels.<br />

The data are in the Ship Damage.jmp sample data table. The model formula is in the model column, <strong>and</strong><br />

the loss function (or –log-likelihood) is in the Poisson column. To fit the model, follow the steps below:<br />

1. Select Analyze > <strong>Modeling</strong> > Nonlinear.<br />

2. Assign model to the X, Predictor Formula role.<br />

3. Assign Poisson to the Loss role.<br />

4. Click OK.<br />

5. Set the Current Value (initial value) for b0 to 1, <strong>and</strong> the other parameters to 0.<br />

6. Click Go.<br />

7. Select the Confidence Limits button.<br />

The Solution report is shown in Figure 9.20. The results include the parameter estimates <strong>and</strong> confidence<br />

intervals, <strong>and</strong> other summary statistics.

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