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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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118 Fitting St<strong>and</strong>ard Least Squares Models Chapter 3<br />

Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML) Method<br />

Run the model again with EMS (Traditional) as Method. The least square mean for fixed affects <strong>and</strong> each<br />

level of r<strong>and</strong>om effects <strong>and</strong> is the same.<br />

Table 3.15 on page 118, summarizes the estimates between Method of Moments <strong>and</strong> REML across a set of<br />

baseball players in this simulated example. Note that Suarez, with only three at-bats, is shrunk more than<br />

the others with more at-bats.<br />

Table 3.15 Comparison of Estimates between Method of Moments <strong>and</strong> REML<br />

Method of Moments REML N<br />

Variance Component 0.01765 0.019648<br />

Anderson<br />

Jones<br />

Mitchell<br />

Rodriguez<br />

Smith<br />

Suarez<br />

0.29500000<br />

0.20227273<br />

0.32333333<br />

0.55000000<br />

0.35681818<br />

0.55000000<br />

0.29640407<br />

0.20389793<br />

0.32426295<br />

0.54713393<br />

0.35702094<br />

0.54436227<br />

6<br />

11<br />

6<br />

6<br />

11<br />

3<br />

Least Squares Means same as ordinary means shrunken from means<br />

REML <strong>and</strong> Traditional <strong>Methods</strong> Agree on the St<strong>and</strong>ard Cases<br />

It turns out that in balanced designs, the REML F-test values for fixed effects is the same as with the<br />

Method of Moments (Expected Means Squares) approach. The degrees of freedom could differ in some<br />

cases. There are a number of methods of obtaining the degrees of freedom for REML F-tests; the one that<br />

JMP uses is the smallest degrees of freedom associated with a containing effect.<br />

F-Tests in Mixed Models<br />

Note: This section details the tests produced with REML.<br />

The REML method obtains the variance components <strong>and</strong> parameter estimates, but there are a few<br />

additional steps to obtain tests on fixed effects in the model. The objective is to construct the F statistic <strong>and</strong><br />

associated degrees of freedom to obtain a p-value for the significance test.<br />

Historically, in simple models using the Method of Moments (EMS), st<strong>and</strong>ard tests were derived by<br />

construction of quadratic forms that had the right expectation under the null hypothesis. Where a mean<br />

square had to be synthesized from a linear combination of mean squares to have the right expectation,<br />

Satterthwaite's method could be used to obtain the degrees of freedom to get the p-value. Sometimes these<br />

were fractional degrees of freedom, just as you might find in a modern (Aspin-Welch) Student's t-test.<br />

With modern computing power <strong>and</strong> recent methods, we have much improved techniques to obtain the<br />

tests. First, Kackar, <strong>and</strong> Harville (1984) found a way to estimate a bias-correction term for small samples.

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