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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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152 Fitting Stepwise Regression Models Chapter 4<br />

Using Validation<br />

9. Click OK.<br />

Figure 4.18 Model Averaging Report<br />

In the Model Averaging report, average estimates <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard errors appear for each parameter. The<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ard errors shown reflect the bias of the estimates toward zero.<br />

10. Click Save Prediction Formula to save the prediction formula in the original data table.<br />

Using Validation<br />

Validation is the process of using part of a data set to estimate model parameters, <strong>and</strong> using the other part to<br />

assess the predictive ability of the model.<br />

• The training set is the part that estimates model parameters.<br />

• The validation set is the part that assesses or validates the predictive ability of the model.<br />

• The test set is a final, independent assessment of the model’s predictive ability. The test set is available<br />

only when using a validation column.<br />

The training, validation, <strong>and</strong> test sets are created by subsetting the original data into parts. Subsetting is<br />

done through the use of a validation column on the Fit Model launch window.<br />

The validation column’s values determine how the data is split, <strong>and</strong> what method is used for validation:<br />

• If the column has two distinct values, then training <strong>and</strong> validation sets are created.<br />

• If the column has three distinct values, then training, validation, <strong>and</strong> test sets are created.<br />

• If the column has four or more distinct values, K-Fold cross validation is performed.<br />

When you use validation, model fit statistics appear for the training, validation, <strong>and</strong> test sets.

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