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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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Chapter 3 Fitting St<strong>and</strong>ard Least Squares Models 83<br />

Effect Screening<br />

You also do not need scaled estimates if your factors have the Coding column property. In that case, they are<br />

converted to uncoded form when the model is estimated <strong>and</strong> the results are already in an interpretable form<br />

for effect sizes.<br />

Example of Scaled Estimates<br />

1. Open the Drug.jmp sample data table.<br />

2. Select Analyze > Fit Model.<br />

3. Select y <strong>and</strong> click Y.<br />

4. Add Drug <strong>and</strong> x as the effects.<br />

5. Click Run.<br />

6. From the red triangle menu next to Response y, select Effect Screening > Scaled Estimates.<br />

As noted in the report, the estimates are parameter-centered by the mean <strong>and</strong> scaled by range/2.<br />

Figure 3.21 Scaled Estimates<br />

Plot Options<br />

The Normal, Bayes, <strong>and</strong> Pareto Plot options correct for scaling <strong>and</strong> for correlations among the estimates.<br />

These three Effect Screening options point out the following:<br />

1. The process of fitting can be thought of as converting one set of realizations of r<strong>and</strong>om values (the<br />

response values) into another set of realizations of r<strong>and</strong>om values (the parameter estimates). If the design<br />

is balanced with an equal number of levels per factor, these estimates are independent <strong>and</strong> identically<br />

distributed, just as the responses are.<br />

2. If you are fitting a screening design that has many effects <strong>and</strong> only a few runs, you expect that only a few<br />

effects are active. That is, a few effects have a sizable impact <strong>and</strong> the rest of them are inactive (they are<br />

estimating zeros). This is called the assumption of effect sparsity.<br />

3. Given points 1 <strong>and</strong> 2 above, you can think of screening as a way to determine which effects are inactive<br />

with r<strong>and</strong>om values around zero <strong>and</strong> which ones are outliers (not part of the distribution of inactive<br />

effects).<br />

Therefore, you treat the estimates themselves as a set of data to help you judge which effects are active <strong>and</strong><br />

which are inactive. If there are few runs, with little or no degrees of freedom for error, then there are no<br />

classical significance tests, <strong>and</strong> this approach is especially needed.

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