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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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Chapter 4 Fitting Stepwise Regression Models 139<br />

The Stepwise Report<br />

Table 4.3 Description of the Stepwise Regression Control Panel<br />

Stopping Rule • P-value Threshold uses p-values (significance levels) to enter <strong>and</strong><br />

remove effects from the model. Two other options appear when P-value<br />

Threshold is chosen: Prob to Enter is the maximum p-value that an<br />

effect must have to be entered into the model during a forward step.<br />

Prob to Leave is the minimum p-value that an effect must have to be<br />

removed from the model during a backward step.<br />

• Minimum AICc uses the minimum corrected Akaike Information<br />

Criterion to choose the best model.<br />

• Minimum BIC uses the minimum Bayesian Information Criterion to<br />

choose the best model.<br />

• Max Validation RSquare uses the maximum R-square from the<br />

validation set to choose the best model. This is available only when a<br />

validation column is used, <strong>and</strong> the validation column has two or three<br />

distinct values. For more information about validation, see “Using<br />

Validation” on page 152.<br />

• Max K-Fold RSquare uses the maximum R-square from K-fold cross<br />

validation to choose the best model. This is available only when K-Fold<br />

cross validation is used. For more information about validation, see<br />

“Using Validation” on page 152.<br />

Direction<br />

Choose how effects enter <strong>and</strong> leave the model:<br />

• Forward brings in the regressor that most improves the fit, given that<br />

term is significant at the level specified by Prob to Enter. See “Forward<br />

Selection Example” on page 141.<br />

• Backward removes the regressor that affects the fit the least, given that<br />

term is not significant at the level specified in Prob to Leave. See<br />

“Backward Selection Example” on page 142.<br />

• Mixed alternates the forward <strong>and</strong> backward steps. It includes the most<br />

significant term that satisfies Prob to Enter <strong>and</strong> removes the least<br />

significant term satisfying Prob to Leave. It continues removing terms<br />

until the remaining terms are significant <strong>and</strong> then it changes to the<br />

forward direction.

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