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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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Chapter 24 Visualizing, Optimizing, <strong>and</strong> Simulating Response Surfaces 611<br />

The Simulator<br />

Figure 24.64 Defect Rate for Temperature of 535<br />

The defect rate decreases to about 1.8%, which is much better than 5.5%. So, what you see is that the fixed<br />

(no variability) settings that maximize Yield are not the same settings that minimize the defect rate in the<br />

presence of factor variation.<br />

By running a Simulation Experiment you can find the settings of Temperature <strong>and</strong> Time that minimize the<br />

defect rate. To do this you simulate the defect rate at each point of a Temperature <strong>and</strong> Time design, then fit<br />

a predictive model for the defect rate <strong>and</strong> minimize it.<br />

Before running the Simulation Experiment, save the factor settings that maximize Yield so you can reference<br />

them later. To do this, re-enter the factor settings (Mean <strong>and</strong> SD) from Figure 24.62 <strong>and</strong> select Factor<br />

Settings > Remember Settings from Prediction Profiler pop-up menu. A dialog prompts you to name<br />

the settings then click OK. The settings are appended to the report window.<br />

Figure 24.65 Remembered Settings<br />

Select Simulation Experiment from the Simulator pop-up menu. Enter 80 runs, <strong>and</strong> 1 to use the whole<br />

factor space in the experiment. A Latin Hypercube design with 80 design points is chosen within the<br />

specified factor space, <strong>and</strong> N Runs r<strong>and</strong>om draws are taken at each of the design points. The design point<br />

are the center of the r<strong>and</strong>om draws, <strong>and</strong> the shape <strong>and</strong> variance of the r<strong>and</strong>om draws coming from the factor<br />

distributions.<br />

A table is created with the results of the experiment. The Overall Defect Rate is given at each design point.<br />

You can now fit a model that predicts the defect rate as a function of Temperature <strong>and</strong> Time. To do this,<br />

run the attached Guassian Process script <strong>and</strong> wait for the results. The results are shown below. Your results<br />

will be slightly different due to the r<strong>and</strong>om draws in the simulation.

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