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Modeling and Multivariate Methods - SAS

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Chapter 3 Fitting St<strong>and</strong>ard Least Squares Models 81<br />

Estimates<br />

The Power<br />

The power is the probability of getting a significant result. It is a function of the sample size n, the effect size<br />

δ, the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of the error σ, <strong>and</strong> the significance level α. The power tells you how likely your<br />

experiment will detect a difference at a given α-level.<br />

Power has the following characteristics:<br />

• If the true value of the parameter is the hypothesized value, the power should be alpha, the size of the<br />

test. You do not want to reject the hypothesis when it is true.<br />

• If the true value of the parameters is not the hypothesized value, you want the power to be as great as<br />

possible.<br />

• The power increases with the sample size, as the error variance decreases, <strong>and</strong> as the true parameter gets<br />

farther from the hypothesized value.<br />

The Adjusted Power <strong>and</strong> Confidence Intervals<br />

You typically substitute sample estimates in power calculations, because power is a function of unknown<br />

population quantities (Wright <strong>and</strong> O’Brien 1988). If you regard these sample estimates as r<strong>and</strong>om, you can<br />

adjust them to have a more proper expectation.<br />

You can also construct a confidence interval for this adjusted power. However, the confidence interval is<br />

often very wide. The adjusted power <strong>and</strong> confidence intervals can be computed only for the original δ,<br />

because that is where the r<strong>and</strong>om variation is. For details about adjusted power see “Computations for<br />

Adjusted Power” on page 685 in the “Statistical Details” appendix<br />

Correlation of Estimates<br />

The Correlation of Estimates comm<strong>and</strong> on the Estimates menu creates a correlation matrix for all<br />

parameter estimates.<br />

Example of Correlation of Estimates<br />

1. Open the Tiretread.jmp data table.<br />

2. Select Analyze > Fit Model.<br />

3. Select ABRASION <strong>and</strong> click Y.<br />

4. Select SILICA <strong>and</strong> SILANE <strong>and</strong> click Add.<br />

5. Select SILICA <strong>and</strong> SILANE <strong>and</strong> click Cross.<br />

6. Click Run.<br />

7. From the Response red triangle menu, select Estimates > Correlation of Estimates.

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