Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
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1. INTRODUCTION<br />
Each summer for the last five years the National Aeronautics<br />
<strong>and</strong> Space Administration (NASA) has funded<br />
eight faculty fellowship programs in cooperation with<br />
the American Society for Engineering Education<br />
(ASEE). The selection <strong>of</strong> four sites is governed by the<br />
proximity <strong>of</strong> a NASA facility to a university. Two<br />
programs are conducted at each site-one research oriented<br />
<strong>and</strong> the other engineering-design oriented. <strong>Project</strong><br />
<strong>Cyclops</strong> is the 1971 NASA-ASEE Summer faculty<br />
Fellowship Program in Engineering Systems <strong>Design</strong><br />
conducted jointly by Stanford University <strong>and</strong> Ames<br />
Research Center.<br />
A major objective <strong>of</strong> these programs is to provide<br />
an educational experience for young faculty members<br />
<strong>of</strong> American universities. The Engineering Systems <strong>Design</strong><br />
programs, for example, usually involve several disciplines,<br />
each represented by individuals involved in the<br />
program. The interaction <strong>of</strong> the disciplines, as well as<br />
the trade<strong>of</strong>fs available for optimizing the overall system,<br />
becomes apparent. Each specialist inevitably<br />
learns something about the other fields involved in the<br />
total system design.<br />
While the overall objectives <strong>of</strong> the summer programs<br />
are educational, it is important that any system studied<br />
have a clearly stated objective or set <strong>of</strong> objectives. The<br />
primary objective <strong>of</strong> <strong>Project</strong> <strong>Cyclops</strong> was:<br />
To assess what would be required in hardware, manpower,<br />
time <strong>and</strong> fitnding to mount a realistic effort,<br />
using present (or near-term future) state-<strong>of</strong>-the-art techniques,<br />
aimed at detecting the existence <strong>of</strong> extraterrestrial<br />
(extrasolar system) intelligent life.<br />
By a "realistic effort" is meant one having a high<br />
probability <strong>of</strong> success, based on our best estimates <strong>of</strong><br />
all the factors involved. Because our present knowledge<br />
does not allow accurate estimates <strong>of</strong> the density <strong>of</strong><br />
intelligent <strong>and</strong> especially <strong>of</strong> communicative life in the<br />
universe <strong>and</strong> therefore <strong>of</strong> the volume <strong>of</strong> space that<br />
must be searched, the <strong>Cyclops</strong> system design must take<br />
this uncertainty as to the magnitude <strong>of</strong> the problem<br />
into account at the outset. This suggests starting with<br />
the minimum system that would probably be needed<br />
<strong>and</strong> increasing its size till success is achieved or until a<br />
new <strong>and</strong> superior technique is discovered. <strong>Cyclops</strong> is<br />
therefore not a fixed static system but a flexible exp<strong>and</strong>able<br />
one.<br />
This report presents the conclusions reached in this<br />
summer study including a possible system design (with<br />
some alternatives) <strong>and</strong> some cost estimates. However, it<br />
should be emphasized that, because <strong>of</strong> time <strong>and</strong> manpower<br />
limitations, this study represents only about two<br />
to three man-years <strong>of</strong> effort. Before cost estimates can<br />
be made that are accurate enough to permit a go-no-go<br />
decision, at least ten times this effort will be needed.<br />
And before a final detailed design can be specified at<br />
least a thous<strong>and</strong> times the present <strong>Cyclops</strong> effort will<br />
have been exp<strong>and</strong>ed. Thus the present report must be<br />
taken as only a very preliminary <strong>and</strong> rough set <strong>of</strong> estimates.<br />
Although the <strong>Cyclops</strong> system as here described<br />
would have certain important applications in both radio<br />
astronomy <strong>and</strong> communication with deep space probes<br />
both the extremely preliminary nature <strong>of</strong> this study<br />
<strong>and</strong> tile great uncertainty as to whether a system <strong>of</strong><br />
this type will be built in the reasonably near future<br />
force us to emphasize that presently contemplated expenditures<br />
in radio astronomy, radar mapping <strong>and</strong> deep<br />
space communication facilities should be evaluated<br />
without regard to the content <strong>of</strong> this report. It would<br />
be extremely unfortunate if funding for any worthwhile<br />
projects in these fields were to be deferred or<br />
reduced because <strong>of</strong> a mistaken impression regarding the<br />
imminence <strong>of</strong> a <strong>Cyclops</strong>-like system. Rather we would<br />
hope that the fact that many people are willing to<br />
consider the magnitude <strong>of</strong> expenditures involved in<br />
<strong>Cyclops</strong> might serve to emphasize how greatly under<br />
financed radio astronomy, for example, is at the<br />
present<br />
time.