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Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...

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2. LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE<br />

"Absence <strong>of</strong> evidence is not evidence <strong>of</strong> absence."<br />

Martin<br />

Rees<br />

It is only recently that speculation about the existence<br />

<strong>of</strong> intelligent extraterrestrial life has turned into<br />

serious scientific study. As recently as 40 years ago,<br />

almost all scientists, speaking ex cathedra, would have<br />

argued that life, if not unique to earth, was at least<br />

exceedingly rare. The last 15 years have brought about<br />

an almost complete change <strong>of</strong> opinion. Today a large<br />

segment <strong>of</strong> the scientific community is willing to accept<br />

the belief that life is common in the universe <strong>and</strong> indeed<br />

that many civilizations have existed <strong>and</strong> still exist in our<br />

Galaxy, <strong>and</strong> that many may be more advanced than our<br />

own. Indeed, the debate is now concerned primarily<br />

with how best to discover these civilizations rather than<br />

with the plausibility <strong>of</strong> their existence.<br />

We still do not have "hard" scientific evidence for the<br />

existence <strong>of</strong> intelligent extraterrestrial life, evidence<br />

amounting to pro<strong>of</strong>-evidence in the sense Rees uses the<br />

word in the quotation above. In fact, it is unlikely that<br />

we will ever have this kind <strong>of</strong> evidence unless <strong>and</strong> until<br />

we actually search for <strong>and</strong> succeed in contacting other<br />

life. To justify such an effort, which may require billions<br />

<strong>of</strong> dollars <strong>and</strong> decades <strong>of</strong> time, we must truly believe<br />

that other intelligent life exists <strong>and</strong> that contact with it<br />

would be enormously stimulating <strong>and</strong> beneficial to<br />

mankind. What is it that gives us such faith, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

audacity to suggest such an undertaking? What has<br />

caused such a reversal <strong>of</strong> conventional scientific thought<br />

over the last few years?<br />

CONVERGING<br />

DISCIPLINES<br />

Historically, science has been concerned with the<br />

gathering <strong>of</strong> data, careful measurement <strong>and</strong> analysis, <strong>and</strong><br />

the construction <strong>of</strong> models in a number <strong>of</strong> seemingly<br />

unrelated disciplines. Little connection was seen, for<br />

example, between astrophysics <strong>and</strong> biology or between<br />

these <strong>and</strong> communication theory. The last two decades<br />

have witnessed a synthesis <strong>of</strong> ideas <strong>and</strong> discoveries from<br />

previously distinct disciplines. Out <strong>of</strong> this synthesis have<br />

grown new fields <strong>of</strong> research. Thus we now have<br />

exobiology, which represents a synthesis <strong>of</strong> discoveries<br />

in astronomy, atmospheric physics, geophysics, geochemistry,<br />

chemical evolution, <strong>and</strong> biochemistry.<br />

This burst <strong>of</strong> interdisciplinary thought has produced<br />

an underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> life in the universe based, for the<br />

first time, on scientific information. To be sure, the<br />

picture is incomplete; many details are missing but the<br />

broad picture is emerging. It is as if science, having spent<br />

three centuries doing its humble <strong>and</strong> arduous homework,<br />

had finally become competent to address itself to the<br />

most fundamental questions <strong>of</strong> all, the questions asked<br />

by children <strong>and</strong> philosophers: How did it all begin? What<br />

am I? Quo vadimus?<br />

Preceding pageblank<br />

The picture we behold is one <strong>of</strong> cosmic evolution: a<br />

universe that was born, has evolved into galaxies <strong>of</strong> stars<br />

with planets, <strong>and</strong> into living things, <strong>and</strong> that will<br />

continue to evolve for aeons before vanishing into<br />

oblivion or collapsing toward rebirth. We owe our very<br />

existence to strange <strong>and</strong> wonderful processes that are an<br />

inherent part <strong>of</strong> this cosmic evolution. For example, we<br />

know that heavy elements were not present in the<br />

beginning but are formed in the fiery interiors <strong>of</strong> stars,<br />

many <strong>of</strong> which die in a titanic explosion. The dust <strong>of</strong> the<br />

heavy elements hurled into space becomes the raw<br />

material from which new stars with earthlike planets can<br />

form. The calcium in our very bones was manufactured<br />

in the cores <strong>of</strong> countless long dead stars not unlike those<br />

that sparkle in our night sky.<br />

The ability <strong>of</strong> intelligent life to contemplate its own<br />

existence has always fascinated the philosopher. Now we<br />

see the even more fascinating picture <strong>of</strong> the entire<br />

universe contemplating itself through the minds <strong>and</strong> eyes

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