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Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...

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studies, sowefeelthefollowingstatements canbemade<br />

withgreater conviction thaneverbefore.<br />

CONCLUSIONS<br />

1. It is vastly less expensive to look for <strong>and</strong> to send<br />

signals than to attempt contact by spaceship or<br />

by probes. This conclusion is based not on the<br />

present state <strong>of</strong> our technological prowess but on<br />

our present knowledge <strong>of</strong> physical law,<br />

2. The order-<strong>of</strong>-magnitude uncertainty in the average<br />

distance between communicative civilizations<br />

in the galaxy strongly argues for an exp<strong>and</strong>able<br />

search system. The search can be begun with the<br />

minimum system that would be effective for<br />

nearby stars. The system is then exp<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>and</strong><br />

the search carried farther into space until success<br />

is achieved or a new search strategy is initiated.<br />

3. Of all the communication means at our disposal,<br />

microwaves are the best. They are also the best<br />

for other races <strong>and</strong> for the same reasons. The<br />

energy required at these wavelengths is least <strong>and</strong><br />

the necessary stabilities <strong>and</strong> collecting areas are<br />

fundamentally easier to realize <strong>and</strong> cheaper than<br />

at shorter<br />

wavelengths.<br />

4. The best part <strong>of</strong> the microwave region is the low<br />

frequency end <strong>of</strong> the "microwave window"-<br />

frequencies from about 1 to 2 or 3 GHz. Again,<br />

this is because greater absolute frequency stability<br />

is possible there, the Doppler rates are lower,<br />

beamwidths are broader for a given gain, <strong>and</strong><br />

collecting area is cheaper than at the high end <strong>of</strong><br />

the window.<br />

5. Nature has provided us with a rather narrow<br />

quiet b<strong>and</strong> in this best part <strong>of</strong> the spectrum<br />

that seems especially marked for interstellar<br />

contact. It lies between the spectral lines <strong>of</strong><br />

hydrogen (1420 MHz) <strong>and</strong> the hydroxyl radical<br />

(1662 MHz). St<strong>and</strong>ing like the Om <strong>and</strong> the Um<br />

on either side <strong>of</strong> a gate, these two emissions <strong>of</strong><br />

the disassociation products <strong>of</strong> water beckon all<br />

water-based life to search for its kind at the<br />

age-old meeting place <strong>of</strong> all species: the water<br />

hole.<br />

6. It is technologically feasible today to build<br />

phased antenna arrays operable in the 1- to<br />

3-GHz region with total collecting areas <strong>of</strong> 100<br />

or more square kilometers. The <strong>Cyclops</strong> system<br />

is not nearly this large, but we see no<br />

technological limits that would prevent its expansion<br />

to such a size.<br />

7. With antenna arrays equivalent to a single antenna<br />

a few kilometers in diameter at both the<br />

transmitting <strong>and</strong> receiving end, microwave communication<br />

is possible over intergalactic distances,<br />

<strong>and</strong> high-speed communication is possible<br />

over large interstellar distances. Thus rapid information<br />

transmission can occur once contact has<br />

been confirmed between two civilizations.<br />

8. In the search phase we cannot count on receiving<br />

signals beamed at us by directive antennas.<br />

Neither can we afford to overlook this possibility.<br />

Beamed signals may be radiated at relatively<br />

low powers by communicative races to as<br />

many as a thous<strong>and</strong> nearby likely stars <strong>and</strong> for<br />

very long times. Long range beacons, intended to<br />

be detectable at any <strong>of</strong> the million or so likely<br />

stars within 1000 light-years, will probably be<br />

omnidirectional <strong>and</strong> very high powered (> 109 W).<br />

9. Beacons will very likely be circularly polarized<br />

<strong>and</strong> will surely be highly monochromatic. Spectral<br />

widths <strong>of</strong> 1 Hz or less are probable. They will<br />

convey information at a slow rate <strong>and</strong> in a<br />

manner that does not seriously degrade their detectability.<br />

How best to respond will be contained<br />

in this information.<br />

10. The efficient detection <strong>of</strong> beacons involves<br />

searching in the frequency domain with very high<br />

resolution (1 Hz or less). One <strong>of</strong> the major<br />

contributions <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Cyclops</strong> study is a data<br />

processing method that permits a 100 MHz<br />

frequency b<strong>and</strong> to be searched simultaneously<br />

with a resolution <strong>of</strong> 0.1 Hz. The <strong>Cyclops</strong> system<br />

provides a receiver with a billion simultaneous<br />

narrow channel outputs. Although the <strong>Cyclops</strong><br />

system b<strong>and</strong>width is 100 MHz, no very great<br />

technological barriers prevent widening it to 200<br />

MHz. This would permit searching the entire<br />

"water hole" simultaneously. If our conclusion<br />

as to the appropriateness <strong>of</strong> this b<strong>and</strong> is correct,<br />

the problem posed by the frequency dimension<br />

<strong>of</strong> the search can be considered solved.<br />

11. The cost <strong>of</strong> a system capable <strong>of</strong> making an<br />

effective search, using the techniques we have<br />

considered, is on the order <strong>of</strong> 6 to 10 billion<br />

dollars, <strong>and</strong> this sum would be spent over a<br />

period <strong>of</strong> 10 to 15 years. If contact were<br />

achieved early in this period, we might either<br />

stop exp<strong>and</strong>ing the system or be encouraged to<br />

go on to make further contacts. The principal<br />

cost in the <strong>Cyclops</strong> design is in the antenna<br />

structures. Adopting an upper frequency limit <strong>of</strong><br />

3 GHz rather than 10 GHz could reduce the<br />

antenna cost by a factor <strong>of</strong> two.<br />

12. The search will almost certainly take years,<br />

170

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