Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
Project Cyclops, A Design... - Department of Earth and Planetary ...
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intenseclimaticchange, or competitionwith Homo<br />
sapiens. Natural selectionwasstillatwork.<br />
CIVILIZATION, SCIENCE, AND TECHNOLOGY<br />
Some few thous<strong>and</strong> years ago, cultural evolution was<br />
accelerated by the development <strong>of</strong> new methods <strong>of</strong><br />
controlling the environment. Today we might refer to<br />
these changes as "technological breakthroughs." The<br />
catalog reads: the discovery <strong>of</strong> metals (the Iron <strong>and</strong><br />
Bronze ages), the development <strong>of</strong> agriculture, house<br />
building, transportation by horse <strong>and</strong> boat, the discovery<br />
<strong>of</strong> the wheel, weaving, <strong>and</strong> the improvements in clothing.<br />
Along with these technical changes there developed<br />
an ultimately more powerful human capability, which<br />
was in turn to permit further technological sophistication.<br />
The new achievement was the use <strong>of</strong> symbols, which<br />
can be viewed as an external manifestation <strong>of</strong> the<br />
internal model <strong>of</strong> the world now developing so rapidly.<br />
The symbols were those <strong>of</strong> writing <strong>and</strong> measurement,<br />
<strong>and</strong> they permitted more complete communication <strong>and</strong><br />
planning. Early sign writing evolved into the alphabets.<br />
Numbers could be written down, communicated, <strong>and</strong><br />
preserved, <strong>and</strong> the precision <strong>of</strong> the manufacture <strong>of</strong> tools,<br />
buildings, vehicles, <strong>and</strong> other devices were improved by<br />
measurement.<br />
The rapid cultural evolution at the beginning <strong>of</strong><br />
recorded history brought a much greater control <strong>of</strong> the<br />
environment <strong>and</strong> utilization <strong>of</strong> its resources. It became<br />
possible for larger populations to support themselves in<br />
relative stability. Instead <strong>of</strong> living in small groups,<br />
human societies began to congregate in large cities, <strong>and</strong><br />
the early civilizations evolved in the Middle East, China,<br />
India, the Mediterranean, <strong>and</strong> in Central America. The<br />
process has continued to the present day <strong>and</strong> has been<br />
accelerated, particularly since the Renaissance, by the<br />
growth <strong>of</strong> modern science <strong>and</strong> technology.<br />
In these few paragraphs it is not possible to review<br />
the development <strong>of</strong> science <strong>and</strong> technology in any detail.<br />
It is, however, important to single out some <strong>of</strong> the<br />
l<strong>and</strong>marks, <strong>and</strong> to describe their influence on the<br />
behavior<br />
<strong>of</strong> society.<br />
Some gains in the underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> natural processes<br />
were achieved by the ancient Egyptians, <strong>and</strong> during the<br />
classical age <strong>of</strong> Greece. For the most part these were<br />
limited to macroscopic events that could be seen <strong>and</strong><br />
measured with simple instruments. Some predictions<br />
could be made <strong>of</strong> major astronomical events, <strong>and</strong><br />
mathematical pro<strong>of</strong>s were found for geometrical problems.<br />
The Greek philosophers struggled to find logical<br />
explanations for natural phenomena, including human<br />
behavior. While their conclusions were <strong>of</strong>ten wrong<br />
because <strong>of</strong> false premises, their methods <strong>of</strong> logical<br />
argument, together with the increasing respect for the<br />
power <strong>of</strong> analysis, foreshadowed the growth <strong>of</strong> the<br />
scientific method in Europe after the Dark Ages.<br />
Post-renaissance inventions such as the telescope <strong>and</strong><br />
microscope extended the range <strong>of</strong> man's senses <strong>and</strong><br />
brought increased <strong>and</strong> more quantitative underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />
<strong>of</strong> the world. The invention <strong>of</strong> printing made the<br />
communication <strong>of</strong> ideas comparatively simple. Improvements<br />
in agriculture, shipping, <strong>and</strong> manufacture,<br />
together with colonization <strong>and</strong> trade, led to an increased<br />
wealth so that is was possible for a few gifted individuals<br />
to devote time to the construction <strong>of</strong> theories <strong>and</strong> to the<br />
development <strong>of</strong> experimental techniques. Scientific<br />
societies were formed, <strong>and</strong> the scientific method was<br />
established. Biology, physics, chemistry, <strong>and</strong> mathematics<br />
progressed rapidly. Basic laws governing the<br />
behavior <strong>of</strong> matter <strong>and</strong> energy were discovered <strong>and</strong><br />
refined. In their wake, <strong>and</strong> demonstrating their power,<br />
came the major technological advances that in turn,<br />
permitted a more precise control <strong>of</strong> the environment <strong>and</strong><br />
an exp<strong>and</strong>ing population. Energy from steam, petroleum,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the atom became available, <strong>and</strong> made possible<br />
large-scale engineering projects.<br />
This fragmentary chronicle describes the results <strong>of</strong><br />
recent advances in the precision <strong>of</strong> the internal model <strong>of</strong><br />
the external world. The modern computer represents an<br />
extension <strong>of</strong> such internals models, <strong>and</strong> is now capable<br />
<strong>of</strong> carrying out calculations necessary for a more<br />
complete description <strong>of</strong> the external world at speeds far<br />
in excess <strong>of</strong> those that could ever be achieved by the<br />
human brain in its present form. We begin to talk <strong>of</strong><br />
artificial intelligence <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> processes <strong>of</strong> machine computation<br />
that are coming to have some <strong>of</strong> the characteristics<br />
<strong>of</strong> human thinking. The boundary between the<br />
living <strong>and</strong> the nonliving (machines) is becoming less clear<br />
in any absolute terms, in the same way that the<br />
boundary between the first cell <strong>and</strong> its complex biochemical<br />
precursors is a little vague.<br />
The capability to control <strong>and</strong> use resources has<br />
permitted the organization <strong>of</strong> modern society into larger<br />
<strong>and</strong> larger groups. The amount <strong>of</strong> localized decreased<br />
entropy in this corner <strong>of</strong> the solar system continues to<br />
increase. Life is flourishing as never before on the planet<br />
<strong>Earth</strong>.<br />
We are concerned in this study particularly with the<br />
rapid growth in the recent underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> the physical<br />
universe. The description <strong>of</strong> the evolution <strong>of</strong> galaxies,<br />
stars, <strong>and</strong> planetary systems found earlier in this chapter<br />
testifies to this knowledge. The description <strong>of</strong> the<br />
evolution <strong>of</strong> life on this planet, now fairly complete,<br />
forces us to ask whether living systems on the planets <strong>of</strong><br />
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