2009 Scenario Reliability Assessment - NERC

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Scenario Reliability Self-AssessmentsTable Québec-2: Renewable Resources Integration ScenarioRenewable Resources Integration Scenario - 15% of Québec Internal Demand (in GWh).Load 2008-Actual 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Québec Internal Demand (1,2) 188,918 186,617 187,479 190,627 193,720 195,366 197,206 199,200 203,873 207,520 209,155Energy Efficiency- 1990's Programs 2,200 2,100 2,100 2,000 2,000 1,900 1,900 1,900 1,800 1,800 1,800- New Programs 2,923 3,928 4,815 5,821 6,902 8,135 9,632 11,323 11,822 11,822 11822Québec Internal Demand 194,041 192,645 194,394 198,448 202,622 205,401 208,738 212,423 217,495 221,142 222,77715 % of Québec Internal Demand:29,106(1) : March 2009 Revision Forecast;(2) : Québec Internal Load Forecast doesn't includes Energy Efficiency programs.Supply 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Wind I - 990 MW 391 460 1,715 2,056 2,056 2,056 2,056 2,056 2,056 2,056Wind II - 2 000 MW 0 0 100 1,600 3,300 4,600 5,400 6,300 6,300 6,300Wind III - 500 MW 0 0 0 0 400 1,000 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600Wind - HQP - 280 MW 650 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340Total Wind Power 1,041 1,800 3,155 4,996 7,096 8,996 10,396 11,296 11,296 11,296Biomass (125 MW) 0 0 0 100 900 900 900 900 900 900Small Hydro - 150 MW 0 0 0 200 300 600 800 800 800 800EM-1 A - Hydro 950 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320La Sarcelle - Hydro 60 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000Rupert River Diversion - Hydro 6,000 6,000 5,332 5,332 5,332 5,332 5,332 5,332 5,332Complexe de la Romaine - Hydro 0 0 690 2,970 2,970 3,580 6,040Private Production - 70 MW - Hydro 20 254 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536Total Hydro 20 6,254 7,546 9,388 9,488 10,478 12,958 12,958 13,568 16,028Marginal Energy Efficiency Programs 1,005 1,892 2,898 3,979 5,212 6,709 8,400 8,899 8,899 8,899Total Supply 2,066 9,946 13,599 18,463 22,696 27,083 32,654 34,053 34,663 37,123Total Supply as percent of Québec Internal Demand: 19.1%Energy Efficiency as percent of Québec Internal Demand:4.6%2009 Scenario Reliability Assessment Page 111
Scenario Reliability Self-AssessmentsTable Québec-3: Renewable Resources Integration ScenarioPLANNED RESOURCES in MW (1)Call for Tenders - Wind I 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018- St-Ulric - St-Léandre 127.5 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150- Les Méchins 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150- Mont-Louis 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5- Montagne-Sèche 58.5 58.5 58.5 58.5 58.5 58.5 58.5 58.5- Gros-Morne 1 110.5 110.5 110.5 110.5 110.5 110.5 110.5 110.5- Gros-Morne 2 111 111 111 111 111 111 111Call for Tenders - Wind II 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018- Des Moulins 156 156 156 156 156 156 156 156- St-Rémi 100 100 100 100 100 100 100- St-Valentin 50 50 50 50 50 50 50- De l'Érable 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100- Massif du Sud 150 150 150 150 150 150 150- Seigneurie de Beaupré 2 132.6 132.6 132.6 132.6 132.6 132.6- Seigneurie de Beaupré 3 139.6 139.6 139.6 139.6 139.6 139.6- Clermont 74 74 74 74- Rivière du Moulin Ph 1 150 150 150 150 150- Rivière du Moulin Ph 2 200 200 200 200- Ste-Luce 68 68 68 68 68 68 68- Lac Alfred Ph 1 150 150 150 150 150 150 150- Lac Alfred Ph 2 150 150 150 150 150 150- New Richmond 66 66 66 66 66 66 66- Le Plateau 138.6 138.6 138.6 138.6 138.6 138.6 138.6 138.6- Aguanish 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80- MRC la Matépédia 100 100 100 100 100Call for Tenders - Wind III 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018- 2 X 250 MW 100 300 500 500 500 500 500Call for Tenders - Biomass II 125 125 125 125 125 125 125Call for Tenders - Small Hydro 25 50 100 150 150 150 150 150Hydro-Québec Production 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018- Eastmain-1 A 533 768 768 768 768 768 768 768- La Sarcelle 100 150 150 150 150 150 150 150- La Romaine Complex 622 622 882 1260 1260Private Producers - Small Hydro 35 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70(1): For Wind Power, the In-Service dates are December 1st of the indicated year and for hydro and Biomass Power, the In-Service dates are November 1st of the undicated year.Eastmain-1 A/Sarcelle/Rupert ProjectThe project consists in building a 768 MW generating station – Eastmain-1 A powerhouse – nearthe existing Eastmain-1 powerhouse, and diverting part of the flow of the Rupert River into thesetwo facilities, then through Sarcelle powerhouse and on to Robert-Bourassa (LG-2), La Grande-2-A and La Grande-1 generating stations.The Rupert diversion will involve the following structures and facilities:four dams.a spillway on the Rupert River, which will also function as an instream flow releasestructure.74 dikes.two diversion bays (forebay and tailbay) with a total area of about 346 km 2 at maximumoperating level.a 2.9 km long tunnel between the Rupert forebay and tailbay.a network of canals with a total length of about 12 km to facilitate flow in the variousportions of the diversion bays.Hydraulic structures on the Rupert River to maintain post-diversion water levels alongapproximately 48 percent of the river’s entire length.Page 1122009 Scenario Reliability Assessment
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2009 Scenario ReliabilityAssessment
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Table of ContentsTable of ContentsN
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Executive SummaryTransmission Criti
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Background Information for this Rep
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Scenario Reliability Assessment Sum
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Scenario Reliability Assessment Sum
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Scenario Reliability Self-Assessmen
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Regional Reliability Scenario Self-
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About This Reporto Nuclear scenario
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Joint Coordinated System PlanThemat
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Joint Coordinated System Plan2009 S
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Scenario LetterScenario LetterDecem
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Scenario LetterIn an effort to add
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Scenario Letterd) Provide a table,
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Reliability Assessment Subcommittee
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Reliability Assessment Subcommittee
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the reliability of theto ensurebulk
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